Porto vs Casa Pia Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Porto v Casa Pia — Team-Based Signals
Porto vs Casa Pia Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
3-1
HT 1-0
Casa Pia
POR
2-1
HT 0-1
Casa Pia
POR
0-0
HT 0-0
Porto
POR
0-3
HT 0-0
Porto
PORLC
Porto 2-0 Casa Pia — Actual Match Statistics
Porto got the better of Casa Pia 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Porto as the likeliest winner at 72%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (56%) landed while over 2.5 goals (61%) missed.
On the day, Porto had 64% of the ball to Casa Pia's 36%, shots finished 17-10, expected goals 2.03 to 0.50.
For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Porto had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Porto and 0.60 for Casa Pia.
What was the final score of Porto vs Casa Pia?
Porto 2-0 Casa Pia in the Portugal - Premier League on 02/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Porto vs Casa Pia?
Before kick-off our model rated a Porto win the most likely single outcome at about 72%, with the full match-result split Porto 72%, draw 16%, Casa Pia 12%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Porto), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.