Vitoria Guimaraes 4-0 Gil Vicente — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - Premier League, 2 Dec 2024

📅02/12/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.75
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
26%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.64
Over 2.5
44%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.06
No
51%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.65
2-3 Goals
45%
1.79
4-5 Goals
19%
4.54
6+ Goals
8%
23.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
2.54
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X EV+ ✗
11%
17.5
X/1
20%
4.28
X/2
11%
10.55
X/X
9%
4.76
2/1
8%
32.0
2/2
10%
9.07
2/X
8%
18.65
Value flag · 1/X at 17.5 — our 11% vs market 4.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
54%
-7.8pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.3pp
26%
Away Win
20%
+6.4pp
56%
Under 2.5
57%
-0.8pp
44%
Over 2.5
43%
+0.8pp
49%
BTTS Yes
44%
+4.7pp
51%
BTTS No
56%
-4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vitoria Guimaraes EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Gil Vicente EU Bookmakers 22%
+2% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -17%
1.57/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/1.35
-1% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / -6%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
296 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 74%
24.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.5
23.7 Crosses 13.5
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vitoria Guimaraes
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Gil Vicente
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.45 xG 1.10
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
349 Passes 399
82% Pass Accuracy 83%
22 Box Touches 18
19 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
08.02.2024 Vitoria Guimaraes Vitoria Guimaraes 3-1 HT 3-1 Gil Vicente Gil Vicente POK
28.01.2024 Gil Vicente Gil Vicente 1-0 HT 0-0 Vitoria Guimaraes Vitoria Guimaraes POR
19.08.2023 Vitoria Guimaraes Vitoria Guimaraes 2-1 HT 0-0 Gil Vicente Gil Vicente POR
21.05.2023 Vitoria Guimaraes Vitoria Guimaraes 1-0 HT 0-0 Gil Vicente Gil Vicente POR
17.01.2023 Gil Vicente Gil Vicente 2-1 HT 1-1 Vitoria Guimaraes Vitoria Guimaraes POR
15.05.2022 Vitoria Guimaraes Vitoria Guimaraes 5-0 HT 1-0 Gil Vicente Gil Vicente POR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vitoria Guimaraes
4-0
AWAY Gil Vicente
1.77 xG 0.06
53% Ball Possession 47%
19 Total Shots 3
5 Shots on Target 0
9 Corners 2
360 Passes 331
83% Pass Accuracy 82%
26 Box Touches 4
30 Crosses 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Vitoria Guimaraes vs Gil Vicente
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vitoria Guimaraes ran out comfortable winners over Gil Vicente 4-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Vitoria Guimaraes as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Vitoria Guimaraes had 53% of the ball to Gil Vicente's 47%, shots finished 19-3, expected goals 1.77 to 0.06.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Vitoria Guimaraes had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Vitoria Guimaraes and 0.83 for Gil Vicente.

What was the final score of Vitoria Guimaraes vs Gil Vicente?

Vitoria Guimaraes 4-0 Gil Vicente in the Portugal - Premier League on 02/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vitoria Guimaraes vs Gil Vicente?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vitoria Guimaraes win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Vitoria Guimaraes 46%, draw 28%, Gil Vicente 26%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vitoria Guimaraes), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Vitoria Guimaraes) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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