FC Akhmat Grozny 1-1 Dinamo Moscow — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Premier League, 2 Dec 2024

📅02/12/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
2.8
Draw
22%
3.54
Away
54%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.38
Over 2.5
60%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.46
No
43%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
5.19
2-3 Goals
41%
1.99
4-5 Goals
28%
2.77
6+ Goals
10%
7.11
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
4.23
1/2 EV+ ✗
10%
22.55
1/X
6%
12.85
X/1
8%
6.9
X/2
19%
5.26
X/X
8%
5.75
2/1
6%
28.0
2/2
25%
2.91
2/X
8%
12.65
Value flag · 1/2 at 22.55 — our 10% vs market 2.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
32%
-7.5pp
22%
Draw
25%
-2.9pp
54%
Away Win
43%
+10.5pp
40%
Under 2.5
38%
+2.1pp
60%
Over 2.5
62%
-2.1pp
57%
BTTS Yes
64%
-7.2pp
43%
BTTS No
36%
+7.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Akhmat Grozny EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Dinamo Moscow EU Bookmakers 48%
-11% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +10%
0.94/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.77/1.33
-24% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / -26%
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
293 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 351 · 79%
20.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.6
15.1 Crosses 14.8
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Akhmat Grozny
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Dinamo Moscow
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.14 xG 1.80
41% Ball Possession 59%
12 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
243 Passes 383
75% Pass Accuracy 80%
24 Box Touches 31
13 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
15.09.2024 Dinamo Moscow Dinamo Moscow 4-2 HT 1-0 FC Akhmat Grozny FC Akhmat Grozny RUS
09.03.2024 Dinamo Moscow Dinamo Moscow 2-0 HT 1-0 FC Akhmat Grozny FC Akhmat Grozny RUS
01.10.2023 FC Akhmat Grozny FC Akhmat Grozny 1-1 HT 1-0 Dinamo Moscow Dinamo Moscow RUS
14.05.2023 Dinamo Moscow Dinamo Moscow 0-3 HT 0-1 FC Akhmat Grozny FC Akhmat Grozny RUS
23.11.2022 FC Akhmat Grozny FC Akhmat Grozny 2-1 HT 2-0 Dinamo Moscow Dinamo Moscow RUK
02.10.2022 FC Akhmat Grozny FC Akhmat Grozny 2-1 HT 2-0 Dinamo Moscow Dinamo Moscow RUS
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Akhmat Grozny
1-1
AWAY Dinamo Moscow
1.72 xG 1.90
41% Ball Possession 59%
16 Total Shots 18
6 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 7
215 Passes 363
69% Pass Accuracy 80%
42 Box Touches 27
17 Crosses 22
4 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH FC Akhmat Grozny vs Dinamo Moscow
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Akhmat Grozny and Dinamo Moscow shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Dinamo Moscow at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (57%) landed while over 2.5 goals (60%) missed.

On the day, FC Akhmat Grozny had 41% of the ball to Dinamo Moscow's 59%, shots finished 16-18, expected goals 1.72 to 1.90.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Akhmat Grozny had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for FC Akhmat Grozny and 1.50 for Dinamo Moscow.

What was the final score of FC Akhmat Grozny vs Dinamo Moscow?

FC Akhmat Grozny 1-1 Dinamo Moscow in the Russia - Premier League on 02/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Akhmat Grozny vs Dinamo Moscow?

Before kick-off our model rated an Dinamo Moscow win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split FC Akhmat Grozny 24%, draw 22%, Dinamo Moscow 54%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Dinamo Moscow), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Dinamo Moscow) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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