Hatayspor 1-1 Beşiktaş — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 2 Dec 2024

📅02/12/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
3.08
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
37%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.18
Over 2.5
51%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.55
No
50%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
25%
4.35
2-3 Goals
41%
1.89
4-5 Goals
23%
3.01
6+ Goals
11%
9.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.35 — our 25% vs market 18.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
5.47
1/2
8%
26.0
1/X
6%
14.8
X/1
8%
8.27
X/2
9%
5.36
X/X
12%
5.92
2/1
13%
34.5
2/2
21%
2.97
2/X
7%
14.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
29%
+8.8pp
26%
Draw
25%
+0.3pp
37%
Away Win
46%
-9.0pp
49%
Under 2.5
42%
+7.0pp
51%
Over 2.5
58%
-7.0pp
50%
BTTS Yes
60%
-10.5pp
50%
BTTS No
40%
+10.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hatayspor EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Beşiktaş EU Bookmakers 50%
+7% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -16%
1.16/1.40 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/1.25
+14% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / -7%
44% Ball Possession 56%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
272 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 375 · 83%
18.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.4
17.4 Crosses 18.8
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hatayspor
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Beşiktaş
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.14 xG 1.89
40% Ball Possession 60%
9 Total Shots 18
2 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 8
263 Passes 430
77% Pass Accuracy 85%
13 Box Touches 29
14 Crosses 26
3 Yellow Cards 2
18.05.2024 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş 2-2 HT 0-1 Hatayspor Hatayspor TSL
25.12.2023 Hatayspor Hatayspor 1-2 HT 0-1 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş TSL
24.10.2022 Hatayspor Hatayspor 2-1 HT 0-1 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş TSL
19.03.2022 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş 1-1 HT 1-1 Hatayspor Hatayspor TSL
30.10.2021 Hatayspor Hatayspor 1-0 HT 1-0 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş TSL
01.05.2021 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş 7-0 HT 5-0 Hatayspor Hatayspor TSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hatayspor
1-1
AWAY Beşiktaş
0.64 xG 1.34
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 9
256 Passes 344
74% Pass Accuracy 79%
18 Box Touches 26
23 Crosses 22
9 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Hatayspor vs Beşiktaş
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hatayspor and Beşiktaş shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match split (37% / 26% / 37%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Hatayspor had 44% of the ball to Beşiktaş's 56%, shots finished 11-11, expected goals 0.64 to 1.34.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Hatayspor and 2.17 for Beşiktaş.

What was the final score of Hatayspor vs Beşiktaş?

Hatayspor 1-1 Beşiktaş in the Turkey - Super League on 02/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hatayspor vs Beşiktaş?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hatayspor win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Hatayspor 37%, draw 26%, Beşiktaş 37%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (37/26/37) ✗ Over 2.5
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