Fenerbahçe 3-1 Gaziantep FK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 2 Dec 2024

📅02/12/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
66%
1.18
Draw
19%
7.13
Away
15%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
2.89
Over 2.5
64%
1.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
2.03
No
48%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
6.61
2-3 Goals
35%
2.15
4-5 Goals
29%
2.53
6+ Goals
16%
5.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1.4
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
9%
34.5
X/1
23%
3.96
X/2
5%
34.5
X/X
5%
13.75
2/1
6%
27.0
2/2
5%
27.5
2/X
5%
34.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
66%
Home Win
81%
-15.5pp
19%
Draw
12%
+7.4pp
15%
Away Win
7%
+8.1pp
36%
Under 2.5
31%
+5.1pp
64%
Over 2.5
69%
-5.1pp
52%
BTTS Yes
45%
+6.4pp
48%
BTTS No
55%
-6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fenerbahçe EU Bookmakers 85%
Head to Head
AWAY Gaziantep FK EU Bookmakers 9%
-1% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
2.46/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/2.53
+8% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / -4%
60% Ball Possession 40%
19 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
434 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 257 · 74%
35.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.0
21.5 Crosses 12.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fenerbahçe
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Gaziantep FK
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
2.77 xG 1.27
63% Ball Possession 37%
17 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
442 Passes 204
84% Pass Accuracy 70%
38 Box Touches 15
23 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 3
07.02.2024 Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK 0-2 HT 0-2 Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe TÜK
14.01.2024 Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK 0-1 HT 0-0 Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe TSL
13.08.2023 Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe 2-1 HT 2-1 Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK TSL
15.01.2023 Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK 1-2 HT 0-1 Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe TSL
29.04.2022 Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe 3-2 HT 1-0 Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK TSL
13.12.2021 Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK 3-2 HT 1-1 Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe TSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fenerbahçe
3-1
AWAY Gaziantep FK
1.97 xG 1.15
55% Ball Possession 45%
17 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 2
17 Corners 3
361 Passes 312
80% Pass Accuracy 80%
31 Box Touches 9
38 Crosses 10
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Fenerbahçe vs Gaziantep FK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fenerbahçe got the better of Gaziantep FK 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Fenerbahçe as the likeliest winner at 66%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (64%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Fenerbahçe had 55% of the ball to Gaziantep FK's 45%, shots finished 17-6, expected goals 1.97 to 1.15.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fenerbahçe had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Fenerbahçe and 1.17 for Gaziantep FK.

What was the final score of Fenerbahçe vs Gaziantep FK?

Fenerbahçe 3-1 Gaziantep FK in the Turkey - Super League on 02/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fenerbahçe vs Gaziantep FK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fenerbahçe win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split Fenerbahçe 66%, draw 19%, Gaziantep FK 15%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fenerbahçe), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Fenerbahçe) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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