Nacional de Football 3-1 Boston River — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - Premier League, 2 Dec 2024

📅02/12/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.45
Draw
22%
4.08
Away
24%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.95
Over 2.5
52%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.99
No
54%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
8%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
65%
-11.2pp
22%
Draw
22%
+0.6pp
24%
Away Win
13%
+10.7pp
48%
Under 2.5
48%
+0.8pp
52%
Over 2.5
52%
-0.8pp
46%
BTTS Yes
46%
+0.1pp
54%
BTTS No
54%
-0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nacional de Football EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY Boston River EU Bookmakers 16%
-2% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -24%
1.92/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.47/1.87
+14% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -38% / -2%
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
309 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 262 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.1 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nacional de Football
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Boston River
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
28.07.2024 Nacional de Football Nacional de Football 1-0 HT 1-0 Boston River Boston River URU
05.06.2024 Boston River Boston River 1-3 HT 0-2 Nacional de Football Nacional de Football URU
20.10.2023 Boston River Boston River 2-0 HT 1-0 Nacional de Football Nacional de Football URU
12.03.2023 Nacional de Football Nacional de Football 3-1 HT 1-0 Boston River Boston River URU
15.09.2022 Nacional de Football Nacional de Football 1-0 HT 0-0 Boston River Boston River URU
25.07.2022 Nacional de Football Nacional de Football 2-0 HT 0-0 Boston River Boston River URU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nacional de Football
3-1
AWAY Boston River
53% Ball Possession 47%
17 Total Shots 15
10 Shots on Target 6
10 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Nacional de Football vs Boston River
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nacional de Football beat Boston River 3-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we said in the preview, our model had Nacional de Football as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Nacional de Football had 53% of the ball to Boston River's 47%, shots finished 17-15.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nacional de Football had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Nacional de Football and 0.67 for Boston River.

What was the final score of Nacional de Football vs Boston River?

Nacional de Football 3-1 Boston River in the Uruguay - Premier League on 02/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nacional de Football vs Boston River?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nacional de Football win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Nacional de Football 54%, draw 22%, Boston River 24%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nacional de Football), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Nacional de Football) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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