Stockton Town 1-2 Leek Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 2 Dec 2025

📅02/12/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.82
Draw
21%
3.54
Away
31%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.95
Over 2.5
54%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.75
No
42%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
14%
X/X
9%
2/1
12%
2/2
10%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
51%
-2.9pp
21%
Draw
25%
-4.1pp
31%
Away Win
24%
+6.9pp
46%
Under 2.5
48%
-2.0pp
54%
Over 2.5
52%
+2.0pp
58%
BTTS Yes
53%
+5.4pp
42%
BTTS No
47%
-5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stockton Town EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Leek Town EU Bookmakers 28%
+0% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +0%
1.52/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/1.48
-12% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / +9%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
326 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 331 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stockton Town
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Leek Town
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 0
0 Yellow Cards 3
29.01.2025 Stockton Town 1-0 HT 0-0 Leek Town Leek Town İNGNLP
10.08.2024 Leek Town Leek Town 0-2 HT 0-1 Stockton Town İNGNLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Stockton Town
1-2
AWAY Leek Town
67% Ball Possession 33%
19 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
10 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Stockton Town vs Leek Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Leek Town squeezed past Stockton Town 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Stockton Town at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (58%) came in.

On the day, Stockton Town had 67% of the ball to Leek Town's 33%, shots finished 19-10.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Stockton Town had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Stockton Town and 0.00 for Leek Town.

What was the final score of Stockton Town vs Leek Town?

Stockton Town 1-2 Leek Town in the England - Non League Premier on 02/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stockton Town vs Leek Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Stockton Town win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Stockton Town 48%, draw 21%, Leek Town 31%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Stockton Town) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Stockton Town) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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