Morpeth Town 1-1 Gainsborough Trinity — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 2 Dec 2025

📅02/12/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.57
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
36%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.68
Over 2.5
51%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.85
No
41%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
21%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
35%
+0.9pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.2pp
36%
Away Win
37%
-0.7pp
49%
Under 2.5
56%
-6.3pp
51%
Over 2.5
44%
+6.3pp
59%
BTTS Yes
50%
+9.1pp
41%
BTTS No
50%
-9.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Morpeth Town EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Gainsborough Trinity EU Bookmakers 40%
+6% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +0%
1.48/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/1.40
+3% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +2%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
300 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Morpeth Town
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Gainsborough Trinity
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
51% Ball Possession 49%
4 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 2
21.12.2024 Morpeth Town Morpeth Town 1-0 HT 1-0 Gainsborough Trinity Gainsborough Trinity İNGNLP
13.08.2024 Gainsborough Trinity Gainsborough Trinity 3-1 HT 1-0 Morpeth Town Morpeth Town İNGNLP
13.01.2024 Gainsborough Trinity Gainsborough Trinity 0-2 Morpeth Town Morpeth Town İNGNLP
09.09.2023 Morpeth Town Morpeth Town 2-0 HT 1-0 Gainsborough Trinity Gainsborough Trinity İNGNLP
14.01.2023 Morpeth Town Morpeth Town 2-0 HT 2-0 Gainsborough Trinity Gainsborough Trinity İNGNLP
25.10.2022 Gainsborough Trinity Gainsborough Trinity 1-1 HT 0-0 Morpeth Town Morpeth Town İNGNLP
POST-MATCH Morpeth Town vs Gainsborough Trinity
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Morpeth Town and Gainsborough Trinity shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 28% / 36% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (59%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Morpeth Town had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Morpeth Town and 0.67 for Gainsborough Trinity.

What was the final score of Morpeth Town vs Gainsborough Trinity?

Morpeth Town 1-1 Gainsborough Trinity in the England - Non League Premier on 02/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Morpeth Town vs Gainsborough Trinity?

Before kick-off our model rated a Morpeth Town win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Morpeth Town 36%, draw 28%, Gainsborough Trinity 36%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (36/28/36) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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