Gainsborough Trinity vs Morpeth Town Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Gainsborough Trinity v Morpeth Town — Team-Based Signals
Gainsborough Trinity vs Morpeth Town Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-0
HT 1-0
Gainsborough Trinity
İNGNLP
2-0
HT 2-0
Gainsborough Trinity
İNGNLP
1-1
HT 0-0
Morpeth Town
İNGNLP
2-0
HT 1-0
Gainsborough Trinity
İNGNLP
2-1
HT 0-0
Morpeth Town
İNGNLP
Gainsborough Trinity 3-1 Morpeth Town — Actual Match Statistics
Gainsborough Trinity beat Morpeth Town 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Gainsborough Trinity as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.
On the day, Gainsborough Trinity had 49% of the ball to Morpeth Town's 51%, shots finished 11-2.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Morpeth Town led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Gainsborough Trinity and 1.67 for Morpeth Town.
What was the final score of Gainsborough Trinity vs Morpeth Town?
Gainsborough Trinity 3-1 Morpeth Town in the England - Non League Premier on 13/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Gainsborough Trinity vs Morpeth Town?
Before kick-off our model rated a Gainsborough Trinity win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Gainsborough Trinity 46%, draw 27%, Morpeth Town 27%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gainsborough Trinity), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.