Basingstoke Town 3-0 Swindon Supermarine — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 13 Aug 2024

📅13/08/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.05
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
37%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.63
Over 2.5
59%
1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.39
No
44%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
9%
1/X
5%
X/1
20%
X/2
6%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
22%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
45%
-5.7pp
24%
Draw
24%
-0.2pp
37%
Away Win
31%
+5.9pp
41%
Under 2.5
34%
+6.3pp
59%
Over 2.5
66%
-6.3pp
56%
BTTS Yes
68%
-11.4pp
44%
BTTS No
32%
+11.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Basingstoke Town EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Swindon Supermarine EU Bookmakers 34%
-16% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -2%
1.78/1.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.85/2.03
+9% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +35% / -23%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
332 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 331 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
5.0 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Basingstoke Town
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Swindon Supermarine
3.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
35% Ball Possession 65%
14 Total Shots 12
8 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
04.11.2023 Basingstoke Town Basingstoke Town 4-3 HT 1-1 Swindon Supermarine Swindon Supermarine İNGNLP
28.10.2023 Swindon Supermarine Swindon Supermarine 0-3 Basingstoke Town Basingstoke Town FAK
POST-MATCH Basingstoke Town vs Swindon Supermarine
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Basingstoke Town ran out comfortable winners over Swindon Supermarine 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

Our pre-match split (39% / 24% / 37%) promised a tight game; Basingstoke Town found the edge the numbers couldn't. On goals, over 2.5 goals (59%) landed while both teams to score (56%) missed.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Basingstoke Town had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 3.50 goals for Basingstoke Town and 1.50 for Swindon Supermarine.

What was the final score of Basingstoke Town vs Swindon Supermarine?

Basingstoke Town 3-0 Swindon Supermarine in the England - Non League Premier on 13/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Basingstoke Town vs Swindon Supermarine?

Before kick-off our model rated a Basingstoke Town win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Basingstoke Town 39%, draw 24%, Swindon Supermarine 37%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Basingstoke Town), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Basingstoke Town) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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