Gloucester City 3-2 Plymouth Parkway — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 13 Aug 2024

📅13/08/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.61
Draw
25%
3.94
Away
26%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
2.29
Over 2.5
43%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.63
No
58%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
13%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
58%
-8.7pp
25%
Draw
22%
+2.6pp
26%
Away Win
20%
+6.0pp
57%
Under 2.5
40%
+16.9pp
43%
Over 2.5
60%
-16.9pp
42%
BTTS Yes
57%
-15.1pp
58%
BTTS No
43%
+15.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gloucester City EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Plymouth Parkway EU Bookmakers 23%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -1%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -42% / -11%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
378 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 303 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gloucester City
3-2
AWAY Plymouth Parkway
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 3
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 0
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Gloucester City vs Plymouth Parkway
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gloucester City nicked a narrow win over Plymouth Parkway 3-2. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Gloucester City as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Gloucester City had 56% of the ball to Plymouth Parkway's 44%, shots finished 13-3.

What was the final score of Gloucester City vs Plymouth Parkway?

Gloucester City 3-2 Plymouth Parkway in the England - Non League Premier on 13/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gloucester City vs Plymouth Parkway?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gloucester City win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Gloucester City 49%, draw 25%, Plymouth Parkway 26%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gloucester City) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Gloucester City) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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