AFC Telford United 1-5 Stourbridge — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 13 Aug 2024

📅13/08/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.64
Draw
30%
3.72
Away
26%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.91
Over 2.5
42%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.85
No
53%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
21%
X/2
12%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
8%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
57%
-12.3pp
30%
Draw
24%
+6.2pp
26%
Away Win
20%
+6.0pp
58%
Under 2.5
48%
+10.1pp
42%
Over 2.5
52%
-10.1pp
47%
BTTS Yes
50%
-2.9pp
53%
BTTS No
50%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AFC Telford United EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Stourbridge EU Bookmakers 23%
+18% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -9%
1.75/0.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/2.17
-7% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / -18%
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
427 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 252 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AFC Telford United
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Stourbridge
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
59% Ball Possession 41%
8 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 1
27.01.2024 AFC Telford United AFC Telford United 2-1 Stourbridge Stourbridge İNGNLP
26.09.2023 Stourbridge Stourbridge 2-2 HT 2-0 AFC Telford United AFC Telford United İNGNLP
18.12.2021 Stourbridge Stourbridge 3-2 HT 0-1 AFC Telford United AFC Telford United FAK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AFC Telford United
1-5
AWAY Stourbridge
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 6
0 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH AFC Telford United vs Stourbridge
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stourbridge cruised past AFC Telford United 5-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was AFC Telford United at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, AFC Telford United had 52% of the ball to Stourbridge's 48%, shots finished 9-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for AFC Telford United and 2.00 for Stourbridge.

What was the final score of AFC Telford United vs Stourbridge?

AFC Telford United 1-5 Stourbridge in the England - Non League Premier on 13/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AFC Telford United vs Stourbridge?

Before kick-off our model rated a AFC Telford United win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split AFC Telford United 44%, draw 30%, Stourbridge 26%. The final score 1-5 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (AFC Telford United) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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