AFC Telford United 2-1 Stourbridge — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 27 Jan 2024

📅27/01/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.9
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
27%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.71
Over 2.5
37%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.88
No
58%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
42%
2-3 Goals
31%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
11%
2/2
13%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
48%
-2.6pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.6pp
27%
Away Win
25%
+2.0pp
63%
Under 2.5
55%
+8.3pp
37%
Over 2.5
45%
-8.3pp
42%
BTTS Yes
49%
-7.4pp
58%
BTTS No
51%
+7.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AFC Telford United EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Stourbridge EU Bookmakers 29%
+15% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -7%
1.86/0.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.83
+4% / +121% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / -9%
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
284 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 227 · 67%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AFC Telford United
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Stourbridge
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
57% Ball Possession 43%
9 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 0
1 Yellow Cards 1
26.09.2023 Stourbridge Stourbridge 2-2 HT 2-0 AFC Telford United AFC Telford United İNGNLP
18.12.2021 Stourbridge Stourbridge 3-2 HT 0-1 AFC Telford United AFC Telford United FAK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AFC Telford United
2-1
AWAY Stourbridge
61% Ball Possession 39%
8 Total Shots 3
4 Shots on Target 1
10 Corners 2
POST-MATCH AFC Telford United vs Stourbridge
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AFC Telford United nicked a narrow win over Stourbridge 2-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had AFC Telford United as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, AFC Telford United had 61% of the ball to Stourbridge's 39%, shots finished 8-3.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Stourbridge led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for AFC Telford United and 2.50 for Stourbridge.

What was the final score of AFC Telford United vs Stourbridge?

AFC Telford United 2-1 Stourbridge in the England - Non League Premier on 27/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AFC Telford United vs Stourbridge?

Before kick-off our model rated a AFC Telford United win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split AFC Telford United 46%, draw 27%, Stourbridge 27%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (AFC Telford United) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (AFC Telford United) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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