Stevenage 1-2 Walsall — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Futbol League Cup, 2 Dec 2025

📅02/12/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.92
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
28%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.64
Over 2.5
40%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.96
No
56%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
35%
2.55
2-3 Goals
37%
1.74
4-5 Goals
20%
4.27
6+ Goals
8%
21.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.55 — our 35% vs market 32.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
2.74
1/2
8%
35.0
1/X
7%
14.6
X/1
21%
4.37
X/2
9%
7.57
X/X
14%
4.31
2/1
8%
28.0
2/2
11%
6.31
2/X
6%
15.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
48%
-2.6pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.4pp
27%
Away Win
25%
+2.2pp
60%
Under 2.5
57%
+2.5pp
40%
Over 2.5
43%
-2.5pp
44%
BTTS Yes
47%
-2.6pp
56%
BTTS No
53%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stevenage EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Walsall EU Bookmakers 29%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
1.21/0.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.07/1.48
-26% / +52% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +29% / -35%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
248 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 249 · 67%
24.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.2
22.6 Crosses 29.2
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stevenage
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Walsall
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.03 xG 1.04
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
223 Passes 216
61% Pass Accuracy 62%
22 Box Touches 20
19 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 1
11.03.2023 Stevenage Stevenage 3-1 HT 3-1 Walsall Walsall İN2
13.08.2022 Walsall Walsall 1-1 HT 1-0 Stevenage Stevenage İN2
08.01.2022 Stevenage Stevenage 3-1 HT 2-0 Walsall Walsall İN2
28.08.2021 Walsall Walsall 1-0 HT 1-0 Stevenage Stevenage İN2
20.02.2021 Stevenage Stevenage 1-1 HT 0-1 Walsall Walsall İN2
02.12.2020 Walsall Walsall 1-1 HT 0-0 Stevenage Stevenage İN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Stevenage
1-2
AWAY Walsall
1.01 xG 0.40
69% Ball Possession 31%
19 Total Shots 6
1 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 2
465 Passes 160
86% Pass Accuracy 64%
20 Box Touches 10
26 Crosses 7
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Stevenage vs Walsall
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Walsall squeezed past Stevenage 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Stevenage at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Stevenage had 69% of the ball to Walsall's 31%, shots finished 19-6, expected goals 1.01 to 0.40 — on chances, Stevenage could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Stevenage had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Stevenage and 1.00 for Walsall.

What was the final score of Stevenage vs Walsall?

Stevenage 1-2 Walsall in the England - Futbol League Cup on 02/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stevenage vs Walsall?

Before kick-off our model rated a Stevenage win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Stevenage 45%, draw 27%, Walsall 27%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Stevenage) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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