Leyton Orient 0-1 Plymouth Argyle — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Futbol League Cup, 2 Dec 2025

Leyton Orient
0-1 HT 0-0
Plymouth Argyle
📅02/12/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
England - Futbol League Cup – 2025/2026

Leyton Orient vs Plymouth Argyle Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.19
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
29%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
2.21
Over 2.5
44%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.53
No
50%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
29%
4.28
2-3 Goals
39%
1.86
4-5 Goals
22%
2.83
6+ Goals
10%
8.08
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.28 — our 29% vs market 17.7%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.22
1/2
5%
26.5
1/X
7%
12.6
X/1
18%
5.59
X/2
11%
6.51
X/X
10%
5.5
2/1
11%
23.55
2/2
13%
4.08
2/X
9%
12.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
42%
+3.1pp
26%
Draw
25%
+0.3pp
30%
Away Win
33%
-3.4pp
56%
Under 2.5
41%
+14.1pp
44%
Over 2.5
59%
-14.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
61%
-11.2pp
50%
BTTS No
39%
+11.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Leyton Orient v Plymouth Argyle — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Leyton Orient EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Plymouth Argyle EU Bookmakers 37%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
1.29/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/1.18
-27% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / -15%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
306 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 73%
21.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.3
17.9 Crosses 19.5
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.7

Leyton Orient vs Plymouth Argyle Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Leyton Orient
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Plymouth Argyle
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.02 xG 1.93
45% Ball Possession 55%
14 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
306 Passes 382
73% Pass Accuracy 78%
22 Box Touches 28
15 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
19.08.2025 Plymouth Argyle Plymouth Argyle 0-1 HT 0-0 Leyton Orient Leyton Orient İN1
08.08.2023 Plymouth Argyle Plymouth Argyle 2-0 HT 2-0 Leyton Orient Leyton Orient İNLK
15.09.2020 Leyton Orient Leyton Orient 3-2 HT 0-2 Plymouth Argyle Plymouth Argyle İNLK
22.10.2019 Plymouth Argyle Plymouth Argyle 4-0 HT 4-0 Leyton Orient Leyton Orient İN2
13.08.2019 Plymouth Argyle Plymouth Argyle 2-0 HT 0-0 Leyton Orient Leyton Orient İNLK
14.02.2017 Plymouth Argyle Plymouth Argyle 2-3 HT 1-1 Leyton Orient Leyton Orient İN2

Leyton Orient 0-1 Plymouth Argyle — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Leyton Orient
0-1
AWAY Plymouth Argyle
1.25 xG 2.36
57% Ball Possession 43%
11 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 5
9 Corners 5
357 Passes 249
80% Pass Accuracy 73%
17 Box Touches 30
20 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Leyton Orient vs Plymouth Argyle
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Plymouth Argyle squeezed past Leyton Orient 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Leyton Orient at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Leyton Orient had 57% of the ball to Plymouth Argyle's 43%, shots finished 11-16, expected goals 1.25 to 2.36.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Leyton Orient and 2.00 for Plymouth Argyle.

What was the final score of Leyton Orient vs Plymouth Argyle?

Leyton Orient 0-1 Plymouth Argyle in the England - Futbol League Cup on 02/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Leyton Orient vs Plymouth Argyle?

Before kick-off our model rated a Leyton Orient win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Leyton Orient 45%, draw 26%, Plymouth Argyle 30%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Leyton Orient) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Leyton Orient) ✓ Under 2.5
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