Plymouth Argyle 0-1 Leyton Orient — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 19 Aug 2025

📅19/08/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.84
Draw
21%
3.45
Away
41%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.95
Over 2.5
54%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.66
No
49%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.36
2-3 Goals
41%
1.74
4-5 Goals
23%
3.15
6+ Goals
11%
11.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
4.54
1/2 EV+ ✗
9%
24.1
1/X
6%
13.3
X/1
11%
6.54
X/2
13%
5.0
X/X
8%
4.89
2/1
8%
30.5
2/2
20%
3.01
2/X
6%
12.85
Value flag · 1/2 at 24.1 — our 9% vs market 2.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
32%
+6.0pp
21%
Draw
26%
-4.7pp
41%
Away Win
43%
-1.4pp
46%
Under 2.5
48%
-1.8pp
54%
Over 2.5
52%
+1.8pp
51%
BTTS Yes
56%
-5.1pp
49%
BTTS No
44%
+5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Plymouth Argyle EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Leyton Orient EU Bookmakers 46%
+12% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -10%
1.23/1.47 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/1.29
+14% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / -16%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
285 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 343 · 76%
22.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.7
17.6 Crosses 14.4
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Plymouth Argyle
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Leyton Orient
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.93 xG 1.02
57% Ball Possession 43%
17 Total Shots 12
8 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
418 Passes 331
80% Pass Accuracy 76%
28 Box Touches 22
12 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 2
08.08.2023 Plymouth Argyle Plymouth Argyle 2-0 HT 2-0 Leyton Orient Leyton Orient İNLK
15.09.2020 Leyton Orient Leyton Orient 3-2 HT 0-2 Plymouth Argyle Plymouth Argyle İNLK
22.10.2019 Plymouth Argyle Plymouth Argyle 4-0 HT 4-0 Leyton Orient Leyton Orient İN2
13.08.2019 Plymouth Argyle Plymouth Argyle 2-0 HT 0-0 Leyton Orient Leyton Orient İNLK
14.02.2017 Plymouth Argyle Plymouth Argyle 2-3 HT 1-1 Leyton Orient Leyton Orient İN2
27.09.2016 Leyton Orient Leyton Orient 0-2 HT 0-1 Plymouth Argyle Plymouth Argyle İN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Plymouth Argyle
0-1
AWAY Leyton Orient
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 2
240 Passes 207
69% Pass Accuracy 64%
POST-MATCH Plymouth Argyle vs Leyton Orient
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Leyton Orient squeezed past Plymouth Argyle 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 21% / 41% — and on the day Leyton Orient made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Plymouth Argyle had 52% of the ball to Leyton Orient's 48%, shots finished 12-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Plymouth Argyle had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Plymouth Argyle and 1.00 for Leyton Orient.

What was the final score of Plymouth Argyle vs Leyton Orient?

Plymouth Argyle 0-1 Leyton Orient in the England - 1st Division on 19/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Plymouth Argyle vs Leyton Orient?

Before kick-off our model rated an Leyton Orient win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Plymouth Argyle 38%, draw 21%, Leyton Orient 41%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Leyton Orient) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Leyton Orient) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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