Peterborough United 0-1 Barnsley — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 19 Aug 2025

Peterborough United
0-1 HT 0-1
Barnsley
📅19/08/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
England - 1st Division – 2025/2026

Peterborough United vs Barnsley Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
3.08
Draw
19%
3.64
Away
46%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
2.23
Over 2.5
62%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.53
No
42%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
4.33
2-3 Goals
37%
1.84
4-5 Goals
29%
2.7
6+ Goals
13%
7.43
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
4.87
1/2
8%
21.05
1/X
6%
13.3
X/1
8%
7.34
X/2
10%
4.93
X/X
6%
5.64
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
29.5
2/2
29%
2.63
2/X
6%
12.65
Value flag · 2/1 at 29.5 — our 10% vs market 1.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
29%
+6.1pp
19%
Draw
24%
-5.6pp
46%
Away Win
47%
-0.6pp
38%
Under 2.5
41%
-2.5pp
62%
Over 2.5
59%
+2.5pp
58%
BTTS Yes
61%
-3.6pp
42%
BTTS No
39%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Peterborough United v Barnsley — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Peterborough United EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Barnsley EU Bookmakers 51%
+2% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +18%
1.47/1.40 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.68/0.89
+34% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / +2%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 6
359 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 269 · 72%
19.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.1
11.4 Crosses 21.2
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.4

Peterborough United vs Barnsley Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Peterborough United
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Barnsley
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.40 xG 1.03
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 7
348 Passes 308
77% Pass Accuracy 75%
19 Box Touches 22
19 Crosses 24
0 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
21.04.2025 Barnsley Barnsley 1-1 HT 1-1 Peterborough United Peterborough United İN1
29.12.2024 Peterborough United Peterborough United 1-3 HT 0-0 Barnsley Barnsley İN1
29.12.2023 Peterborough United Peterborough United 2-2 HT 1-2 Barnsley Barnsley İN1
15.08.2023 Barnsley Barnsley 1-3 HT 0-0 Peterborough United Peterborough United İN1
07.05.2023 Barnsley Barnsley 0-2 HT 0-1 Peterborough United Peterborough United İN1
02.12.2022 Peterborough United Peterborough United 1-2 HT 1-1 Barnsley Barnsley İN1

Peterborough United 0-1 Barnsley — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Peterborough United
0-1
AWAY Barnsley
0.54 xG 1.77
44% Ball Possession 56%
7 Total Shots 15
1 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 5
295 Passes 389
77% Pass Accuracy 78%
20 Box Touches 20
16 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Peterborough United vs Barnsley
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Barnsley nicked a narrow win over Peterborough United 1-0 away from home.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Barnsley as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Peterborough United had 44% of the ball to Barnsley's 56%, shots finished 7-15, expected goals 0.54 to 1.77 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Barnsley's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Peterborough United and 1.50 for Barnsley.

What was the final score of Peterborough United vs Barnsley?

Peterborough United 0-1 Barnsley in the England - 1st Division on 19/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Peterborough United vs Barnsley?

Before kick-off our model rated an Barnsley win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Peterborough United 35%, draw 19%, Barnsley 46%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Barnsley) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Barnsley) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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