Peterborough United 1-3 Barnsley — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 29 Dec 2024

Peterborough United
1-3 HT 0-0
Barnsley
📅29/12/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
England - 1st Division – 2024/2025

Peterborough United vs Barnsley Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.67
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
41%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.38
Over 2.5
56%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.46
No
45%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.83
2-3 Goals
38%
1.9
4-5 Goals
25%
2.61
6+ Goals
14%
6.63
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
4.08
1/2 EV+ ✗
11%
22.55
1/X
5%
12.85
X/1
10%
6.68
X/2
18%
5.34
X/X
13%
5.77
2/1
6%
27.5
2/2
13%
2.99
2/X
6%
12.75
Value flag · 1/2 at 22.55 — our 11% vs market 2.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
33%
+1.4pp
24%
Draw
24%
-0.9pp
42%
Away Win
42%
-0.4pp
44%
Under 2.5
38%
+5.7pp
56%
Over 2.5
62%
-5.7pp
55%
BTTS Yes
64%
-9.0pp
45%
BTTS No
36%
+9.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Peterborough United v Barnsley — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Peterborough United EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Barnsley EU Bookmakers 46%
-1% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +27%
1.26/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.42/1.01
+38% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +27% / +6%
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
298 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 72%
19.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.5
16.3 Crosses 19.0
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.4

Peterborough United vs Barnsley Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Peterborough United
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Barnsley
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.32 xG 0.96
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
362 Passes 293
77% Pass Accuracy 73%
21 Box Touches 23
21 Crosses 23
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
29.12.2023 Peterborough United Peterborough United 2-2 HT 1-2 Barnsley Barnsley İN1
15.08.2023 Barnsley Barnsley 1-3 HT 0-0 Peterborough United Peterborough United İN1
07.05.2023 Barnsley Barnsley 0-2 HT 0-1 Peterborough United Peterborough United İN1
02.12.2022 Peterborough United Peterborough United 1-2 HT 1-1 Barnsley Barnsley İN1
18.04.2022 Barnsley Barnsley 0-2 HT 0-1 Peterborough United Peterborough United İNCL
27.11.2021 Peterborough United Peterborough United 0-0 HT 0-0 Barnsley Barnsley İNCL

Peterborough United 1-3 Barnsley — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Peterborough United
1-3
AWAY Barnsley
1.25 xG 1.76
46% Ball Possession 54%
3 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 6
1 Corners 7
234 Passes 296
69% Pass Accuracy 77%
13 Box Touches 28
9 Crosses 24
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Peterborough United vs Barnsley
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Barnsley got the better of Peterborough United 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Barnsley as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, Peterborough United had 46% of the ball to Barnsley's 54%, shots finished 3-15, expected goals 1.25 to 1.76.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Peterborough United had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Peterborough United and 0.83 for Barnsley.

What was the final score of Peterborough United vs Barnsley?

Peterborough United 1-3 Barnsley in the England - 1st Division on 29/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Peterborough United vs Barnsley?

Before kick-off our model rated an Barnsley win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Peterborough United 35%, draw 24%, Barnsley 42%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Barnsley), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Barnsley) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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