Bolton Wanderers 3-0 Lincoln City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 29 Dec 2024

📅29/12/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.18
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
31%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.74
Over 2.5
44%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.82
No
55%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
2.74
2-3 Goals
41%
1.71
4-5 Goals
20%
3.82
6+ Goals
9%
17.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.74 — our 30% vs market 29.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
3.2
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
8%
13.8
X/1
13%
4.76
X/2
14%
6.33
X/X
13%
4.36
2/1
7%
28.0
2/2
11%
4.76
2/X
6%
14.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
42%
+0.0pp
27%
Draw
28%
-0.7pp
31%
Away Win
30%
+0.7pp
56%
Under 2.5
54%
+2.2pp
44%
Over 2.5
46%
-2.2pp
45%
BTTS Yes
51%
-6.3pp
55%
BTTS No
49%
+6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bolton Wanderers EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Lincoln City EU Bookmakers 33%
+10% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +21%
1.25/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.02
+12% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +31%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
334 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 72%
22.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.1
17.4 Crosses 13.9
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bolton Wanderers
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Lincoln City
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
1.00 xG 0.64
64% Ball Possession 36%
14 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
436 Passes 226
81% Pass Accuracy 65%
24 Box Touches 16
19 Crosses 8
2 Yellow Cards 2
26.12.2023 Lincoln City Lincoln City 0-1 HT 0-0 Bolton Wanderers Bolton Wanderers İN1
05.08.2023 Bolton Wanderers Bolton Wanderers 3-0 HT 1-0 Lincoln City Lincoln City İN1
30.12.2022 Lincoln City Lincoln City 1-1 HT 1-0 Bolton Wanderers Bolton Wanderers İN1
01.10.2022 Bolton Wanderers Bolton Wanderers 2-0 HT 1-0 Lincoln City Lincoln City İN1
22.02.2022 Bolton Wanderers Bolton Wanderers 3-1 HT 0-0 Lincoln City Lincoln City İN1
17.08.2021 Lincoln City Lincoln City 0-1 HT 0-0 Bolton Wanderers Bolton Wanderers İN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bolton Wanderers
3-0
AWAY Lincoln City
1.20 xG 0.45
68% Ball Possession 32%
16 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 2
496 Passes 187
86% Pass Accuracy 69%
36 Box Touches 10
16 Crosses 11
0 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Bolton Wanderers vs Lincoln City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bolton Wanderers ran out comfortable winners over Lincoln City 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Bolton Wanderers as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (55%) landed while under 2.5 goals (56%) missed.

On the day, Bolton Wanderers had 68% of the ball to Lincoln City's 32%, shots finished 16-7, expected goals 1.20 to 0.45.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bolton Wanderers had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Bolton Wanderers and 0.33 for Lincoln City.

What was the final score of Bolton Wanderers vs Lincoln City?

Bolton Wanderers 3-0 Lincoln City in the England - 1st Division on 29/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bolton Wanderers vs Lincoln City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bolton Wanderers win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Bolton Wanderers 43%, draw 27%, Lincoln City 31%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bolton Wanderers), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Bolton Wanderers) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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