Stevenage 3-0 Bristol Rovers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 29 Dec 2024

📅29/12/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.72
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
28%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.64
Over 2.5
39%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.09
No
59%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.49
2-3 Goals
43%
1.71
4-5 Goals
18%
4.24
6+ Goals
8%
22.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.33
1/2
9%
34.5
1/X
7%
16.85
X/1
15%
3.71
X/2
10%
9.02
X/X
13%
4.55
2/1
7%
27.5
2/2
8%
7.86
2/X
7%
17.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
54%
-9.1pp
27%
Draw
25%
+1.6pp
28%
Away Win
20%
+7.6pp
61%
Under 2.5
57%
+3.5pp
39%
Over 2.5
43%
-3.5pp
41%
BTTS Yes
44%
-3.2pp
59%
BTTS No
56%
+3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stevenage EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Bristol Rovers EU Bookmakers 23%
-11% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +7%
1.37/0.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/1.49
-42% / +27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / -4%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
308 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 224 · 65%
29.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.9
26.6 Crosses 14.0
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stevenage
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Bristol Rovers
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.15 xG 1.13
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
222 Passes 306
66% Pass Accuracy 72%
21 Box Touches 20
19 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 3
13.02.2024 Stevenage Stevenage 2-3 HT 2-1 Bristol Rovers Bristol Rovers İN1
24.10.2023 Bristol Rovers Bristol Rovers 1-1 HT 0-1 Stevenage Stevenage İN1
19.02.2022 Stevenage Stevenage 0-4 HT 0-1 Bristol Rovers Bristol Rovers İN2
14.08.2021 Bristol Rovers Bristol Rovers 0-2 HT 0-0 Stevenage Stevenage İN2
08.01.2020 Bristol Rovers Bristol Rovers 0-1 HT 0-1 Stevenage Stevenage İNTK
19.04.2016 Stevenage Stevenage 0-0 HT 0-0 Bristol Rovers Bristol Rovers İN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Stevenage
3-0
AWAY Bristol Rovers
1.68 xG 0.76
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 5
5 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 7
232 Passes 243
68% Pass Accuracy 68%
18 Box Touches 10
12 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Stevenage vs Bristol Rovers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stevenage cruised past Bristol Rovers 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Stevenage as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (59%) landed while under 2.5 goals (61%) missed.

On the day, Stevenage had 49% of the ball to Bristol Rovers's 51%, shots finished 12-5, expected goals 1.68 to 0.76.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Stevenage and 1.33 for Bristol Rovers.

What was the final score of Stevenage vs Bristol Rovers?

Stevenage 3-0 Bristol Rovers in the England - 1st Division on 29/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stevenage vs Bristol Rovers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Stevenage win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Stevenage 45%, draw 27%, Bristol Rovers 28%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Stevenage), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Stevenage) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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