Stevenage vs Bristol Rovers Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Stevenage v Bristol Rovers — Team-Based Signals
Stevenage vs Bristol Rovers Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-1
Stevenage
İN1
0-4
HT 0-1
Bristol Rovers
İN2
0-2
HT 0-0
Stevenage
İN2
0-1
HT 0-1
Stevenage
İNTK
0-0
HT 0-0
Bristol Rovers
İN2
1-2
HT 1-1
Stevenage
İN2
Stevenage 2-3 Bristol Rovers — Actual Match Statistics
Bristol Rovers squeezed past Stevenage 3-2 away from home. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match lean was Stevenage at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Stevenage had 49% of the ball to Bristol Rovers's 51%, shots finished 18-6, expected goals 1.17 to 0.67 — on chances, Stevenage could feel hard done by.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Stevenage had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Stevenage and 1.00 for Bristol Rovers.
What was the final score of Stevenage vs Bristol Rovers?
Stevenage 2-3 Bristol Rovers in the England - 1st Division on 13/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Stevenage vs Bristol Rovers?
Before kick-off our model rated a Stevenage win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Stevenage 43%, draw 29%, Bristol Rovers 28%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.