Port Vale vs Stevenage Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Port Vale v Stevenage — Team-Based Signals
Port Vale vs Stevenage Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-3
HT 1-0
Stevenage
FAK
1-1
HT 0-0
Port Vale
FAK
0-0
HT 0-0
Port Vale
İN1
2-0
HT 2-0
Stevenage
İN2
1-1
HT 1-1
Port Vale
İN2
Port Vale 1-2 Stevenage — Actual Match Statistics
Stevenage squeezed past Port Vale 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 29% / 32% — and on the day Stevenage made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Port Vale had 51% of the ball to Stevenage's 49%, shots finished 15-11, expected goals 1.10 to 1.28.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Port Vale had the better of it with 1 wins, 5 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Port Vale and 1.17 for Stevenage.
What was the final score of Port Vale vs Stevenage?
Port Vale 1-2 Stevenage in the England - 1st Division on 19/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Port Vale vs Stevenage?
Before kick-off our model rated a Port Vale win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Port Vale 39%, draw 29%, Stevenage 32%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.