Wycombe Wanderers 0-1 Exeter City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 19 Aug 2025

📅19/08/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.66
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
21%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.78
Over 2.5
49%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.95
No
50%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
29%
2.81
2-3 Goals
39%
1.7
4-5 Goals
21%
3.66
6+ Goals
11%
16.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.81 — our 29% vs market 27.9%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
2.18
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
7%
15.45
X/1
23%
3.93
X/2
9%
9.29
X/X
10%
4.9
2/1
8%
24.1
2/2
7%
7.88
2/X
6%
17.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
56%
+0.3pp
23%
Draw
24%
-1.1pp
21%
Away Win
20%
+0.8pp
51%
Under 2.5
52%
-1.3pp
49%
Over 2.5
48%
+1.3pp
50%
BTTS Yes
47%
+2.7pp
50%
BTTS No
53%
-2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wycombe Wanderers EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Exeter City EU Bookmakers 23%
+3% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
1.44/0.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.61
-26% / +39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / -4%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
249 · 65% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 173 · 58%
26.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.0
20.3 Crosses 16.3
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Wycombe Wanderers
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Exeter City
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.25 xG 1.47
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
237 Passes 285
64% Pass Accuracy 72%
22 Box Touches 22
15 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 2
01.01.2025 Wycombe Wanderers Wycombe Wanderers 2-1 HT 0-0 Exeter City Exeter City İN1
03.12.2024 Exeter City Exeter City 2-2 HT 2-1 Wycombe Wanderers Wycombe Wanderers İN1
26.12.2023 Exeter City Exeter City 1-0 HT 0-0 Wycombe Wanderers Wycombe Wanderers İN1
05.08.2023 Wycombe Wanderers Wycombe Wanderers 0-3 HT 0-2 Exeter City Exeter City İN1
04.03.2023 Wycombe Wanderers Wycombe Wanderers 1-1 HT 1-0 Exeter City Exeter City İN1
16.08.2022 Exeter City Exeter City 3-1 HT 2-0 Wycombe Wanderers Wycombe Wanderers İN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Wycombe Wanderers
0-1
AWAY Exeter City
1.48 xG 0.21
63% Ball Possession 37%
19 Total Shots 5
8 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 7
449 Passes 204
86% Pass Accuracy 70%
33 Box Touches 17
20 Crosses 20
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Wycombe Wanderers vs Exeter City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Exeter City squeezed past Wycombe Wanderers 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

This one beat our numbers. Wycombe Wanderers carried 56% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Wycombe Wanderers had 63% of the ball to Exeter City's 37%, shots finished 19-5, expected goals 1.48 to 0.21 — on chances, Wycombe Wanderers could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Exeter City led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Wycombe Wanderers and 1.83 for Exeter City.

What was the final score of Wycombe Wanderers vs Exeter City?

Wycombe Wanderers 0-1 Exeter City in the England - 1st Division on 19/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wycombe Wanderers vs Exeter City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Wycombe Wanderers win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Wycombe Wanderers 56%, draw 23%, Exeter City 21%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Wycombe Wanderers) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Wycombe Wanderers) ✓ Under 2.5
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