Northampton Town vs Lincoln City Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Northampton Town v Lincoln City — Team-Based Signals
Northampton Town vs Lincoln City Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-2
HT 0-1
Northampton Town
İN1
2-2
HT 0-1
Lincoln City
İN1
2-1
HT 0-0
Northampton Town
İN1
0-4
HT 0-2
Lincoln City
İN1
Northampton Town 0-1 Lincoln City — Actual Match Statistics
Lincoln City edged past Northampton Town 1-0 away from home.
Our pre-match split (32% / 29% / 39%) promised a tight game; Lincoln City found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Northampton Town had 61% of the ball to Lincoln City's 39%, shots finished 10-3, expected goals 1.02 to 0.17 — on chances, Northampton Town could feel hard done by.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lincoln City led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Northampton Town and 2.00 for Lincoln City.
What was the final score of Northampton Town vs Lincoln City?
Northampton Town 0-1 Lincoln City in the England - 1st Division on 19/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Northampton Town vs Lincoln City?
Before kick-off our model rated an Lincoln City win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Northampton Town 32%, draw 29%, Lincoln City 39%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lincoln City), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.