Lincoln City vs Northampton Town Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Lincoln City v Northampton Town — Team-Based Signals
Lincoln City vs Northampton Town Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-2
HT 0-1
Northampton Town
İN1
2-2
HT 0-1
Lincoln City
İN1
2-1
HT 0-0
Northampton Town
İN1
0-4
HT 0-2
Lincoln City
İN1
1-1
HT 1-1
Northampton Town
İN2
3-2
HT 1-0
Northampton Town
FAK
Lincoln City 2-1 Northampton Town — Actual Match Statistics
Lincoln City squeezed past Northampton Town 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Lincoln City as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.
On the day, Lincoln City had 52% of the ball to Northampton Town's 48%, shots finished 12-9, expected goals 1.22 to 0.67.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lincoln City had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Lincoln City and 1.33 for Northampton Town.
What was the final score of Lincoln City vs Northampton Town?
Lincoln City 2-1 Northampton Town in the England - 1st Division on 29/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Lincoln City vs Northampton Town?
Before kick-off our model rated a Lincoln City win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Lincoln City 49%, draw 28%, Northampton Town 23%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lincoln City) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.