Stevenage 1-4 Bolton Wanderers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 29 Oct 2024

📅29/10/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.99
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
40%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.75
Over 2.5
34%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
1.81
No
62%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
40%
2.99
2-3 Goals
35%
1.77
4-5 Goals
17%
3.9
6+ Goals
8%
17.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.99 — our 40% vs market 27.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
4.87
1/2
8%
27.5
1/X
10%
13.4
X/1
16%
6.58
X/2
15%
4.75
X/X
13%
4.29
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
17%
3.07
2/X
6%
13.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
30%
+0.9pp
29%
Draw
28%
+1.3pp
40%
Away Win
42%
-2.2pp
66%
Under 2.5
53%
+12.9pp
34%
Over 2.5
47%
-12.9pp
38%
BTTS Yes
51%
-12.9pp
62%
BTTS No
49%
+12.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stevenage EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Bolton Wanderers EU Bookmakers 46%
+12% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +6%
1.05/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/0.86
+8% / +139% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +3%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
218 · 64% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 287 · 69%
20.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.3
19.2 Crosses 16.3
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stevenage
0W-1D-3L
AWAY Bolton Wanderers
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.03 xG 1.03
42% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 3
206 Passes 325
65% Pass Accuracy 74%
24 Box Touches 20
22 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 2
29.03.2024 Stevenage Stevenage 0-0 HT 0-0 Bolton Wanderers Bolton Wanderers İN1
03.10.2023 Bolton Wanderers Bolton Wanderers 3-2 HT 1-1 Stevenage Stevenage İN1
13.02.2021 Bolton Wanderers Bolton Wanderers 1-0 HT 1-0 Stevenage Stevenage İN2
21.11.2020 Stevenage Stevenage 1-2 HT 1-2 Bolton Wanderers Bolton Wanderers İN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Stevenage
1-4
AWAY Bolton Wanderers
0.72 xG 1.09
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
10 Corners 4
265 Passes 250
75% Pass Accuracy 71%
33 Box Touches 13
33 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Stevenage vs Bolton Wanderers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bolton Wanderers ran out comfortable winners over Stevenage 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 31% / 29% / 40% — and on the day Bolton Wanderers made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (62%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Stevenage had 52% of the ball to Bolton Wanderers's 48%, shots finished 15-12, expected goals 0.72 to 1.09.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Bolton Wanderers led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Stevenage and 1.50 for Bolton Wanderers.

What was the final score of Stevenage vs Bolton Wanderers?

Stevenage 1-4 Bolton Wanderers in the England - 1st Division on 29/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stevenage vs Bolton Wanderers?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bolton Wanderers win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Stevenage 31%, draw 29%, Bolton Wanderers 40%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bolton Wanderers) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Bolton Wanderers) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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