Stockport County 4-1 Reading — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 29 Oct 2024

📅29/10/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.75
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
28%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.1
Over 2.5
57%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.66
No
43%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
3.99
2-3 Goals
42%
1.84
4-5 Goals
25%
3.11
6+ Goals
13%
10.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.32
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
14.1
X/1
14%
4.21
X/2
9%
8.58
X/X
9%
5.45
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
21.85
2/2
13%
6.19
2/X
10%
14.6
Value flag · 2/1 at 21.85 — our 10% vs market 2.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
53%
-7.2pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.1pp
28%
Away Win
23%
+5.1pp
43%
Under 2.5
44%
-0.6pp
57%
Over 2.5
56%
+0.6pp
57%
BTTS Yes
56%
+1.1pp
43%
BTTS No
44%
-1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stockport County EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Reading EU Bookmakers 27%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -19% / -16%
1.95/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.63
-17% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / -40%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
320 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 248 · 70%
28.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.4
19.0 Crosses 19.1
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Stockport County
4-1
AWAY Reading
2.09 xG 0.39
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 2
9 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 2
390 Passes 265
82% Pass Accuracy 75%
32 Box Touches 10
20 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Stockport County vs Reading
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stockport County swept aside Reading 4-1. Half-time: 3-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Stockport County as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (57%) came in.

On the day, Stockport County had 57% of the ball to Reading's 43%, shots finished 16-2, expected goals 2.09 to 0.39.

What was the final score of Stockport County vs Reading?

Stockport County 4-1 Reading in the England - 1st Division on 29/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stockport County vs Reading?

Before kick-off our model rated a Stockport County win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Stockport County 46%, draw 26%, Reading 28%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Stockport County), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Stockport County) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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