Stevenage 0-0 Bolton Wanderers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 29 Mar 2024

📅29/03/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.57
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
37%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.67
Over 2.5
39%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.88
No
59%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
33%
2.69
2-3 Goals
44%
1.77
4-5 Goals
16%
4.35
6+ Goals
7%
22.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.69 — our 33% vs market 31.1%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
4.14
1/2
6%
31.5
1/X
8%
14.0
X/1
12%
5.55
X/2
11%
5.06
X/X
12%
4.14
2/1
7%
34.0
2/2
19%
3.64
2/X
6%
13.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
35%
+1.9pp
26%
Draw
28%
-1.7pp
37%
Away Win
37%
-0.3pp
61%
Under 2.5
56%
+4.5pp
39%
Over 2.5
44%
-4.5pp
41%
BTTS Yes
49%
-7.7pp
59%
BTTS No
51%
+7.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stevenage EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Bolton Wanderers EU Bookmakers 40%
-4% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +17%
1.40/1.59 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.52/1.11
+9% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / -3%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
227 · 66% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 73%
24.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.2
20.9 Crosses 14.2
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stevenage
0W-0D-3L
AWAY Bolton Wanderers
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.02 xG 1.28
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 3
229 Passes 326
68% Pass Accuracy 74%
24 Box Touches 20
24 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 2
03.10.2023 Bolton Wanderers Bolton Wanderers 3-2 HT 1-1 Stevenage Stevenage İN1
13.02.2021 Bolton Wanderers Bolton Wanderers 1-0 HT 1-0 Stevenage Stevenage İN2
21.11.2020 Stevenage Stevenage 1-2 HT 1-2 Bolton Wanderers Bolton Wanderers İN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Stevenage
0-0
AWAY Bolton Wanderers
1.07 xG 0.29
36% Ball Possession 64%
14 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
137 Passes 322
57% Pass Accuracy 74%
24 Box Touches 19
18 Crosses 13
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Stevenage vs Bolton Wanderers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stevenage and Bolton Wanderers fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 26% / 37% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (59%) came in.

On the day, Stevenage had 36% of the ball to Bolton Wanderers's 64%, shots finished 14-10, expected goals 1.07 to 0.29.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Bolton Wanderers led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Stevenage and 2.00 for Bolton Wanderers.

What was the final score of Stevenage vs Bolton Wanderers?

Stevenage 0-0 Bolton Wanderers in the England - 1st Division on 29/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stevenage vs Bolton Wanderers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Stevenage win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Stevenage 37%, draw 26%, Bolton Wanderers 37%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (37/26/37) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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