Shrewsbury 1-1 Oxford United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 29 Mar 2024

Shrewsbury
1-1 HT 0-0
Oxford United
📅29/03/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
England - 1st Division – 2023/2024

Shrewsbury vs Oxford United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
3.17
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
42%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.68
Over 2.5
42%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.88
No
59%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
2.74
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
4.27
6+ Goals
9%
21.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.74 — our 33% vs market 30.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
5.29
1/2
8%
28.0
1/X
7%
14.45
X/1
12%
6.71
X/2
14%
4.42
X/X
10%
4.22
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
20%
2.95
2/X
8%
14.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
28%
+5.4pp
25%
Draw
27%
-1.6pp
41%
Away Win
45%
-3.8pp
58%
Under 2.5
56%
+2.3pp
42%
Over 2.5
44%
-2.3pp
41%
BTTS Yes
49%
-7.7pp
59%
BTTS No
51%
+7.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Shrewsbury v Oxford United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shrewsbury EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Oxford United EU Bookmakers 49%
+4% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -13%
0.94/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/0.93
-8% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / -20%
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
212 · 63% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 330 · 74%
18.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.3
18.6 Crosses 17.9
2.6 Yellow Cards 1.5

Shrewsbury vs Oxford United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shrewsbury
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Oxford United
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
0.73 xG 1.33
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
199 Passes 368
63% Pass Accuracy 74%
18 Box Touches 20
19 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
03.10.2023 Oxford United Oxford United 3-0 HT 1-0 Shrewsbury Shrewsbury İN1
04.02.2023 Oxford United Oxford United 0-1 HT 0-0 Shrewsbury Shrewsbury İN1
09.11.2022 Shrewsbury Shrewsbury 1-1 HT 0-1 Oxford United Oxford United İN1
12.03.2022 Shrewsbury Shrewsbury 1-2 HT 0-1 Oxford United Oxford United İN1
19.10.2021 Oxford United Oxford United 2-0 HT 0-0 Shrewsbury Shrewsbury İN1
01.05.2021 Shrewsbury Shrewsbury 2-3 HT 2-1 Oxford United Oxford United İN1

Shrewsbury 1-1 Oxford United — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Shrewsbury
1-1
AWAY Oxford United
0.73 xG 1.34
42% Ball Possession 58%
15 Total Shots 20
3 Shots on Target 5
11 Corners 6
228 Passes 372
69% Pass Accuracy 79%
27 Box Touches 22
24 Crosses 17
4 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Shrewsbury vs Oxford United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shrewsbury and Oxford United shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Oxford United at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (58%) landed while no to both teams scoring (59%) missed.

On the day, Shrewsbury had 42% of the ball to Oxford United's 58%, shots finished 15-20, expected goals 0.73 to 1.34.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Oxford United led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Shrewsbury and 1.83 for Oxford United.

What was the final score of Shrewsbury vs Oxford United?

Shrewsbury 1-1 Oxford United in the England - 1st Division on 29/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shrewsbury vs Oxford United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Oxford United win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Shrewsbury 33%, draw 25%, Oxford United 41%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Oxford United), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Oxford United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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