Barnsley 0-2 Cambridge United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 29 Mar 2024

📅29/03/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.42
Draw
24%
4.34
Away
26%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.18
Over 2.5
54%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.85
No
47%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.25
2-3 Goals
40%
1.87
4-5 Goals
24%
3.0
6+ Goals
12%
9.18
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1.71
1/2 EV+ ✗
8%
34.5
1/X
5%
18.5
X/1
17%
3.58
X/2
6%
14.3
X/X
13%
6.59
2/1
6%
21.85
2/2
12%
11.1
2/X
6%
19.15
Value flag · 1/2 at 34.5 — our 8% vs market 1.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
66%
-15.8pp
24%
Draw
20%
+4.4pp
26%
Away Win
14%
+11.4pp
46%
Under 2.5
42%
+4.2pp
54%
Over 2.5
58%
-4.2pp
53%
BTTS Yes
50%
+3.3pp
47%
BTTS No
50%
-3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Barnsley EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Cambridge United EU Bookmakers 17%
+6% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -15%
1.75/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/1.48
+9% / +41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / -24%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
374 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 268 · 70%
23.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.6
20.9 Crosses 16.1
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Barnsley
3W-0D-0L
AWAY Cambridge United
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
0.90 xG 0.82
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
301 Passes 309
70% Pass Accuracy 68%
15 Box Touches 25
13 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 3
03.10.2023 Cambridge United Cambridge United 0-4 HT 0-2 Barnsley Barnsley İN1
11.02.2023 Barnsley Barnsley 2-0 HT 1-0 Cambridge United Cambridge United İN1
17.09.2022 Cambridge United Cambridge United 0-3 HT 0-1 Barnsley Barnsley İN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Barnsley
0-2
AWAY Cambridge United
72% Ball Possession 28%
17 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 4
0 Corners 3
546 Passes 156
85% Pass Accuracy 60%
POST-MATCH Barnsley vs Cambridge United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cambridge United got the better of Barnsley 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Barnsley at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Barnsley had 72% of the ball to Cambridge United's 28%, shots finished 17-7.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Barnsley had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Barnsley and 0.00 for Cambridge United.

What was the final score of Barnsley vs Cambridge United?

Barnsley 0-2 Cambridge United in the England - 1st Division on 29/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Barnsley vs Cambridge United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Barnsley win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Barnsley 50%, draw 24%, Cambridge United 26%. The final score 0-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Barnsley) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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