Exeter City 1-1 Charlton Athletic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 29 Mar 2024

Exeter City
1-1 HT 1-0
Charlton Athletic
📅29/03/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✓
England - 1st Division – 2023/2024

Exeter City vs Charlton Athletic Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.53
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
34%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.91
Over 2.5
46%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.66
No
51%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.43
2-3 Goals
40%
1.79
4-5 Goals
21%
3.46
6+ Goals
11%
13.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.43 — our 28% vs market 23.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.82
1/2
6%
28.0
1/X
8%
12.8
X/1
14%
5.73
X/2
8%
5.46
X/X
14%
4.61
2/1
7%
29.0
2/2
20%
3.58
2/X
6%
12.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
36%
+2.4pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.4pp
34%
Away Win
37%
-2.8pp
54%
Under 2.5
48%
+5.3pp
46%
Over 2.5
52%
-5.3pp
49%
BTTS Yes
56%
-7.5pp
51%
BTTS No
44%
+7.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Exeter City v Charlton Athletic — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Exeter City EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Charlton Athletic EU Bookmakers 40%
-8% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -1%
1.00/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/1.31
-57% / +35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +2%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
275 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 287 · 71%
23.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.6
20.8 Crosses 17.9
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.0

Exeter City vs Charlton Athletic Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Exeter City
0W-0D-6L
AWAY Charlton Athletic
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
0.85 xG 1.69
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 7
323 Passes 346
78% Pass Accuracy 78%
19 Box Touches 27
21 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
03.10.2023 Charlton Athletic Charlton Athletic 4-1 HT 1-1 Exeter City Exeter City İN1
04.02.2023 Exeter City Exeter City 1-2 HT 1-2 Charlton Athletic Charlton Athletic İN1
11.10.2022 Charlton Athletic Charlton Athletic 4-2 HT 2-1 Exeter City Exeter City İN1
08.08.2017 Exeter City Exeter City 1-2 HT 0-0 Charlton Athletic Charlton Athletic İNLK
28.01.2012 Exeter City Exeter City 0-1 HT 0-0 Charlton Athletic Charlton Athletic İN1
10.09.2011 Charlton Athletic Charlton Athletic 2-0 HT 1-0 Exeter City Exeter City İN1

Exeter City 1-1 Charlton Athletic — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Exeter City
1-1
AWAY Charlton Athletic
0.57 xG 0.99
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 6
11 Corners 2
301 Passes 294
70% Pass Accuracy 68%
24 Box Touches 35
26 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Exeter City vs Charlton Athletic
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Exeter City and Charlton Athletic couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 28% / 34% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Exeter City had 50% of the ball to Charlton Athletic's 50%, shots finished 9-17, expected goals 0.57 to 0.99.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Charlton Athletic led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Exeter City and 2.50 for Charlton Athletic.

What was the final score of Exeter City vs Charlton Athletic?

Exeter City 1-1 Charlton Athletic in the England - 1st Division on 29/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Exeter City vs Charlton Athletic?

Before kick-off our model rated a Exeter City win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Exeter City 38%, draw 28%, Charlton Athletic 34%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Exeter City), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Exeter City) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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