Port Vale 2-0 Bristol Rovers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 29 Mar 2024

📅29/03/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.18
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
32%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.8
Over 2.5
49%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.75
No
48%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
3.14
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals
24%
3.74
6+ Goals
10%
15.8
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
3.17
1/2
8%
33.5
1/X
7%
13.45
X/1
20%
4.83
X/2
11%
6.18
X/X
10%
4.54
2/1
7%
27.0
2/2
13%
4.48
2/X
9%
13.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
42%
-0.5pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.4pp
32%
Away Win
31%
+0.9pp
51%
Under 2.5
52%
-0.2pp
49%
Over 2.5
48%
+0.2pp
52%
BTTS Yes
53%
-1.5pp
48%
BTTS No
47%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Port Vale EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Bristol Rovers EU Bookmakers 34%
+5% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -9%
1.34/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/1.16
+4% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / -16%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
262 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 277 · 69%
28.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.9
24.1 Crosses 15.8
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Port Vale
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Bristol Rovers
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.16 xG 0.87
43% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
201 Passes 310
65% Pass Accuracy 73%
20 Box Touches 16
18 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
03.10.2023 Bristol Rovers Bristol Rovers 3-0 HT 2-0 Port Vale Port Vale İN1
22.04.2023 Port Vale Port Vale 2-0 HT 2-0 Bristol Rovers Bristol Rovers İN1
10.12.2022 Bristol Rovers Bristol Rovers 1-0 HT 0-0 Port Vale Port Vale İN1
18.04.2022 Port Vale Port Vale 1-3 HT 1-2 Bristol Rovers Bristol Rovers İN2
07.12.2021 Bristol Rovers Bristol Rovers 1-2 HT 0-2 Port Vale Port Vale İN2
22.01.2019 Bristol Rovers Bristol Rovers 3-0 HT 1-0 Port Vale Port Vale İNTK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Port Vale
2-0
AWAY Bristol Rovers
41% Ball Possession 59%
19 Total Shots 2
11 Shots on Target 0
7 Corners 6
173 Passes 274
62% Pass Accuracy 69%
POST-MATCH Port Vale vs Bristol Rovers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Port Vale got the better of Bristol Rovers 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Port Vale as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Port Vale had 41% of the ball to Bristol Rovers's 59%, shots finished 19-2.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bristol Rovers led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Port Vale and 1.83 for Bristol Rovers.

What was the final score of Port Vale vs Bristol Rovers?

Port Vale 2-0 Bristol Rovers in the England - 1st Division on 29/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Port Vale vs Bristol Rovers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Port Vale win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Port Vale 42%, draw 26%, Bristol Rovers 32%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Port Vale), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Port Vale) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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