Lincoln City 1-0 Leyton Orient — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 29 Mar 2024

📅29/03/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.02
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
25%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.62
Over 2.5
39%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.96
No
59%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
35%
2.56
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals
18%
4.6
6+ Goals
9%
24.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.56 — our 35% vs market 32.8%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.95
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
10%
14.3
X/1
16%
4.34
X/2
8%
6.77
X/X
9%
4.06
2/1
9%
29.0
2/2
12%
5.49
2/X
9%
14.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
46%
+1.1pp
28%
Draw
28%
+0.0pp
25%
Away Win
26%
-1.1pp
61%
Under 2.5
58%
+3.1pp
39%
Over 2.5
42%
-3.1pp
41%
BTTS Yes
47%
-5.5pp
59%
BTTS No
53%
+5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lincoln City EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Leyton Orient EU Bookmakers 30%
-4% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +8%
1.23/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/1.16
-19% / +26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / +21%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
274 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 271 · 68%
19.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.5
17.6 Crosses 16.5
1.8 Yellow Cards 3.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lincoln City
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Leyton Orient
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.74 xG 1.35
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 5
302 Passes 337
75% Pass Accuracy 74%
10 Box Touches 25
14 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
21.11.2023 Leyton Orient Leyton Orient 0-1 HT 0-0 Lincoln City Lincoln City İN1
03.10.2023 Leyton Orient Leyton Orient 1-0 HT 1-0 Lincoln City Lincoln City İN1
22.04.2006 Lincoln City Lincoln City 1-1 HT 1-1 Leyton Orient Leyton Orient İN2
15.10.2005 Leyton Orient Leyton Orient 1-1 HT 1-0 Lincoln City Lincoln City İN2
22.02.2005 Leyton Orient Leyton Orient 1-1 HT 0-1 Lincoln City Lincoln City İN2
23.10.2004 Lincoln City Lincoln City 3-4 HT 2-2 Leyton Orient Leyton Orient İN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lincoln City
1-0
AWAY Leyton Orient
0.38 xG 0.77
46% Ball Possession 54%
5 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 5
191 Passes 258
62% Pass Accuracy 69%
12 Box Touches 18
15 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Lincoln City vs Leyton Orient
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lincoln City nicked a narrow win over Leyton Orient 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Lincoln City as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (59%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Lincoln City had 46% of the ball to Leyton Orient's 54%, shots finished 5-15, expected goals 0.38 to 0.77.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Leyton Orient led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Lincoln City and 1.33 for Leyton Orient.

What was the final score of Lincoln City vs Leyton Orient?

Lincoln City 1-0 Leyton Orient in the England - 1st Division on 29/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lincoln City vs Leyton Orient?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lincoln City win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Lincoln City 47%, draw 28%, Leyton Orient 25%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lincoln City), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Lincoln City) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İN1 More England - 1st Division
29 Mar 2024
18:00 Peterborough United vs Carlisle United Analysis →
18:00 Port Vale vs Bristol Rovers Analysis →
18:00 Exeter City vs Charlton Athletic Analysis →
18:00 Barnsley vs Cambridge United Analysis →
18:00 Shrewsbury vs Oxford United Analysis →
18:00 Reading vs Northampton Town Analysis →