Barnsley 1-1 Peterborough United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 21 Apr 2025

Barnsley
1-1 HT 1-1
Peterborough United
📅21/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
England - 1st Division – 2024/2025

Barnsley vs Peterborough United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.12
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
39%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.38
Over 2.5
58%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.46
No
41%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
4.86
2-3 Goals
39%
1.94
4-5 Goals
28%
2.65
6+ Goals
14%
6.69
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
3.0
1/2
6%
27.0
1/X
9%
12.4
X/1
10%
5.53
X/2
16%
6.93
X/X
11%
5.83
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
22.0
2/2
17%
4.25
2/X
7%
12.75
Value flag · 2/1 at 22.0 — our 9% vs market 2.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
43%
-8.8pp
26%
Draw
25%
+1.8pp
39%
Away Win
32%
+7.1pp
42%
Under 2.5
38%
+3.5pp
58%
Over 2.5
62%
-3.5pp
59%
BTTS Yes
64%
-5.4pp
41%
BTTS No
36%
+5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Barnsley v Peterborough United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Barnsley EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Peterborough United EU Bookmakers 36%
-7% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -10%
1.13/1.53 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/1.38
+0% / -37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -28%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
335 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 76%
23.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.6
21.6 Crosses 19.4
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.0

Barnsley vs Peterborough United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Barnsley
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Peterborough United
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.20 xG 1.38
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
306 Passes 335
74% Pass Accuracy 75%
26 Box Touches 20
25 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
29.12.2024 Peterborough United Peterborough United 1-3 HT 0-0 Barnsley Barnsley İN1
29.12.2023 Peterborough United Peterborough United 2-2 HT 1-2 Barnsley Barnsley İN1
15.08.2023 Barnsley Barnsley 1-3 HT 0-0 Peterborough United Peterborough United İN1
07.05.2023 Barnsley Barnsley 0-2 HT 0-1 Peterborough United Peterborough United İN1
02.12.2022 Peterborough United Peterborough United 1-2 HT 1-1 Barnsley Barnsley İN1
18.04.2022 Barnsley Barnsley 0-2 HT 0-1 Peterborough United Peterborough United İNCL

Barnsley 1-1 Peterborough United — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Barnsley
1-1
AWAY Peterborough United
0.81 xG 0.73
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
375 Passes 302
79% Pass Accuracy 78%
18 Box Touches 10
15 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Barnsley vs Peterborough United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Barnsley and Peterborough United couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 26% / 39% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, both teams to score (59%) landed while over 2.5 goals (58%) missed.

On the day, Barnsley had 55% of the ball to Peterborough United's 45%, shots finished 13-8, expected goals 0.81 to 0.73.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Peterborough United led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Barnsley and 1.83 for Peterborough United.

What was the final score of Barnsley vs Peterborough United?

Barnsley 1-1 Peterborough United in the England - 1st Division on 21/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Barnsley vs Peterborough United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Peterborough United win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Barnsley 34%, draw 26%, Peterborough United 39%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Peterborough United), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Peterborough United) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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