Lincoln City 4-2 Bolton Wanderers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 21 Apr 2025

📅21/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.46
Draw
26%
3.04
Away
35%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.6
Over 2.5
44%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.95
No
53%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.44
2-3 Goals
39%
1.74
4-5 Goals
21%
4.47
6+ Goals
10%
24.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.86
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
6%
13.65
X/1
13%
5.42
X/2
14%
5.83
X/X
12%
3.92
2/1
8%
33.0
2/2
16%
4.32
2/X
8%
13.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
37%
+2.2pp
26%
Draw
30%
-4.0pp
35%
Away Win
33%
+1.8pp
56%
Under 2.5
59%
-2.5pp
44%
Over 2.5
41%
+2.5pp
47%
BTTS Yes
47%
+0.2pp
53%
BTTS No
53%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lincoln City EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Bolton Wanderers EU Bookmakers 37%
+9% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -24%
1.30/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.36/1.17
+16% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / -21%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
269 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 268 · 69%
19.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.4
18.3 Crosses 15.1
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lincoln City
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Bolton Wanderers
0.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
0.47 xG 0.96
33% Ball Possession 67%
7 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 7
175 Passes 440
63% Pass Accuracy 82%
12 Box Touches 25
11 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 2
14.01.2025 Lincoln City Lincoln City 0-1 HT 0-1 Bolton Wanderers Bolton Wanderers İNTK
29.12.2024 Bolton Wanderers Bolton Wanderers 3-0 HT 1-0 Lincoln City Lincoln City İN1
26.12.2023 Lincoln City Lincoln City 0-1 HT 0-0 Bolton Wanderers Bolton Wanderers İN1
05.08.2023 Bolton Wanderers Bolton Wanderers 3-0 HT 1-0 Lincoln City Lincoln City İN1
30.12.2022 Lincoln City Lincoln City 1-1 HT 1-0 Bolton Wanderers Bolton Wanderers İN1
01.10.2022 Bolton Wanderers Bolton Wanderers 2-0 HT 1-0 Lincoln City Lincoln City İN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lincoln City
4-2
AWAY Bolton Wanderers
1.75 xG 0.66
43% Ball Possession 57%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
269 Passes 359
76% Pass Accuracy 78%
14 Box Touches 24
15 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Lincoln City vs Bolton Wanderers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lincoln City saw off Bolton Wanderers 4-2. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 26% / 35% — and on the day Lincoln City made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Lincoln City had 43% of the ball to Bolton Wanderers's 57%, shots finished 13-12, expected goals 1.75 to 0.66.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bolton Wanderers led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.17 goals for Lincoln City and 1.83 for Bolton Wanderers.

What was the final score of Lincoln City vs Bolton Wanderers?

Lincoln City 4-2 Bolton Wanderers in the England - 1st Division on 21/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lincoln City vs Bolton Wanderers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lincoln City win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Lincoln City 39%, draw 26%, Bolton Wanderers 35%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lincoln City) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Lincoln City) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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