Bristol Rovers vs Stevenage Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Bristol Rovers v Stevenage — Team-Based Signals
Bristol Rovers vs Stevenage Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-1
Stevenage
İN1
0-4
HT 0-1
Bristol Rovers
İN2
0-2
HT 0-0
Stevenage
İN2
0-1
HT 0-1
Stevenage
İNTK
Bristol Rovers 0-1 Stevenage — Actual Match Statistics
Stevenage nicked a narrow win over Bristol Rovers 1-0 away from home.
Our pre-match split (38% / 27% / 35%) promised a tight game; Stevenage found the edge the numbers couldn't.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.
On the day, Bristol Rovers had 70% of the ball to Stevenage's 30%, shots finished 11-6, expected goals 0.52 to 1.77 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Stevenage's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Stevenage led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Bristol Rovers and 1.50 for Stevenage.
What was the final score of Bristol Rovers vs Stevenage?
Bristol Rovers 0-1 Stevenage in the England - 1st Division on 21/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Bristol Rovers vs Stevenage?
Before kick-off our model rated a Bristol Rovers win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Bristol Rovers 38%, draw 27%, Stevenage 35%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Bristol Rovers) went the other way.