Blackpool 1-2 Wrexham — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 21 Apr 2025

Blackpool
1-2 HT 0-0
Wrexham
📅21/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✓ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
England - 1st Division – 2024/2025

Blackpool vs Wrexham Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.47
Draw
24%
3.18
Away
37%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.78
Over 2.5
52%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.75
No
47%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.96
2-3 Goals
39%
1.74
4-5 Goals
24%
3.64
6+ Goals
10%
15.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.88
1/2
7%
29.5
1/X
10%
13.35
X/1
14%
5.7
X/2
10%
5.68
X/X
6%
4.51
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
30.0
2/2
20%
3.86
2/X
8%
13.35
Value flag · 2/1 at 30.0 — our 8% vs market 1.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
37%
+2.0pp
24%
Draw
28%
-3.7pp
37%
Away Win
36%
+1.9pp
48%
Under 2.5
52%
-4.9pp
52%
Over 2.5
48%
+4.9pp
53%
BTTS Yes
53%
-0.4pp
47%
BTTS No
47%
+0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Blackpool v Wrexham — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Blackpool EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Wrexham EU Bookmakers 39%
+4% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +6%
1.26/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/0.97
+38% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / +42%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
278 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 72%
20.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.1
17.5 Crosses 21.2
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.9

Blackpool vs Wrexham Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Blackpool
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Wrexham
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
0.82 xG 1.85
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
294 Passes 333
74% Pass Accuracy 76%
13 Box Touches 23
12 Crosses 37
1 Yellow Cards 0
The Meetings
26.12.2024 Wrexham Wrexham 2-1 HT 1-1 Blackpool Blackpool İN1
18.10.2005 Blackpool Blackpool 2-2 HT 1-0 Wrexham Wrexham İNTK
01.01.2005 Wrexham Wrexham 1-2 HT 1-0 Blackpool Blackpool İN1
09.11.2004 Blackpool Blackpool 2-1 HT 0-1 Wrexham Wrexham İN1
28.12.2003 Wrexham Wrexham 4-2 HT 4-2 Blackpool Blackpool İN1
11.11.2003 Blackpool Blackpool 0-1 HT 0-0 Wrexham Wrexham İN1

Blackpool 1-2 Wrexham — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Blackpool
1-2
AWAY Wrexham
0.32 xG 1.26
56% Ball Possession 44%
9 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 6
364 Passes 256
79% Pass Accuracy 70%
25 Box Touches 15
25 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Blackpool vs Wrexham
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wrexham nicked a narrow win over Blackpool 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 24% / 37% — and on the day Wrexham made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Blackpool had 56% of the ball to Wrexham's 44%, shots finished 9-11, expected goals 0.32 to 1.26.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Wrexham led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Blackpool and 1.83 for Wrexham.

What was the final score of Blackpool vs Wrexham?

Blackpool 1-2 Wrexham in the England - 1st Division on 21/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Blackpool vs Wrexham?

Before kick-off our model rated a Blackpool win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Blackpool 39%, draw 24%, Wrexham 37%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Blackpool) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Blackpool) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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