Wrexham 2-1 Blackpool — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 26 Dec 2024

📅26/12/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.09
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
30%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.86
Over 2.5
47%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.73
No
52%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.08
2-3 Goals
36%
1.73
4-5 Goals
24%
3.44
6+ Goals
9%
13.75
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.08 — our 31% vs market 25.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.05
1/2
6%
34.0
1/X
9%
13.9
X/1
20%
4.73
X/2
14%
6.44
X/X
10%
4.8
2/1
7%
26.0
2/2
9%
4.69
2/X
8%
14.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
44%
-0.1pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.5pp
30%
Away Win
30%
-0.5pp
53%
Under 2.5
50%
+3.1pp
47%
Over 2.5
50%
-3.1pp
48%
BTTS Yes
54%
-5.6pp
52%
BTTS No
46%
+5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wrexham EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Blackpool EU Bookmakers 34%
+16% / +21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
1.00/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/1.40
+20% / +123% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +1%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
292 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 73%
18.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.4
22.3 Crosses 16.3
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Wrexham
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Blackpool
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
9 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
18.10.2005 Blackpool Blackpool 2-2 HT 1-0 Wrexham Wrexham İNTK
01.01.2005 Wrexham Wrexham 1-2 HT 1-0 Blackpool Blackpool İN1
09.11.2004 Blackpool Blackpool 2-1 HT 0-1 Wrexham Wrexham İN1
28.12.2003 Wrexham Wrexham 4-2 HT 4-2 Blackpool Blackpool İN1
11.11.2003 Blackpool Blackpool 0-1 HT 0-0 Wrexham Wrexham İN1
01.04.2002 Blackpool Blackpool 3-0 HT 1-0 Wrexham Wrexham İN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Wrexham
2-1
AWAY Blackpool
1.85 xG 0.82
54% Ball Possession 46%
19 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 1
333 Passes 294
76% Pass Accuracy 74%
23 Box Touches 13
37 Crosses 12
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Wrexham vs Blackpool
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wrexham nicked a narrow win over Blackpool 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Wrexham as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Wrexham had 54% of the ball to Blackpool's 46%, shots finished 19-8, expected goals 1.85 to 0.82.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Blackpool led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Wrexham and 1.83 for Blackpool.

What was the final score of Wrexham vs Blackpool?

Wrexham 2-1 Blackpool in the England - 1st Division on 26/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wrexham vs Blackpool?

Before kick-off our model rated a Wrexham win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Wrexham 44%, draw 26%, Blackpool 30%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Wrexham) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Wrexham) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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