Leyton Orient 3-0 Crawley Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 26 Dec 2024

Leyton Orient
3-0 HT 1-0
Crawley Town
📅26/12/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
England - 1st Division – 2024/2025

Leyton Orient vs Crawley Town Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.57
Draw
24%
3.8
Away
25%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.86
Over 2.5
49%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.9
No
55%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.11
2-3 Goals
41%
1.73
4-5 Goals
21%
3.4
6+ Goals
11%
13.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.11 — our 27% vs market 25.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
2.04
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
16.65
X/1
11%
3.72
X/2
9%
10.9
X/X
10%
5.33
2/1
10%
24.3
2/2
10%
8.94
2/X
7%
17.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
60%
-8.4pp
24%
Draw
23%
+0.7pp
25%
Away Win
18%
+7.6pp
51%
Under 2.5
50%
+1.3pp
49%
Over 2.5
50%
-1.3pp
45%
BTTS Yes
49%
-3.4pp
55%
BTTS No
51%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Leyton Orient v Crawley Town — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Leyton Orient EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Crawley Town EU Bookmakers 21%
-5% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -4%
1.45/0.54 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/1.29
-7% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +27% / -13%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
359 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 247 · 70%
27.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.0
20.9 Crosses 15.5
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.0

Leyton Orient vs Crawley Town Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Leyton Orient
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Crawley Town
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
1.10 xG 0.89
49% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
246 Passes 270
67% Pass Accuracy 66%
15 Box Touches 18
13 Crosses 16
4 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
18.02.2023 Leyton Orient Leyton Orient 1-0 HT 0-0 Crawley Town Crawley Town İN2
06.08.2022 Crawley Town Crawley Town 0-1 HT 0-0 Leyton Orient Leyton Orient İN2
30.04.2022 Crawley Town Crawley Town 0-2 HT 0-1 Leyton Orient Leyton Orient İN2
11.12.2021 Leyton Orient Leyton Orient 1-2 HT 0-1 Crawley Town Crawley Town İN2
05.10.2021 Crawley Town Crawley Town 0-4 HT 0-2 Leyton Orient Leyton Orient İNTK
02.02.2021 Crawley Town Crawley Town 0-0 HT 0-0 Leyton Orient Leyton Orient İN2

Leyton Orient 3-0 Crawley Town — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Leyton Orient
3-0
AWAY Crawley Town
3.30 xG 0.49
53% Ball Possession 47%
22 Total Shots 4
8 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 3
289 Passes 259
74% Pass Accuracy 72%
34 Box Touches 10
20 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Leyton Orient vs Crawley Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Leyton Orient swept aside Crawley Town 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Leyton Orient as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, Leyton Orient had 53% of the ball to Crawley Town's 47%, shots finished 22-4, expected goals 3.30 to 0.49.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Leyton Orient had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Leyton Orient and 0.33 for Crawley Town.

What was the final score of Leyton Orient vs Crawley Town?

Leyton Orient 3-0 Crawley Town in the England - 1st Division on 26/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Leyton Orient vs Crawley Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Leyton Orient win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Leyton Orient 51%, draw 24%, Crawley Town 25%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Leyton Orient), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Leyton Orient) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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