Charlton Athletic 2-1 Cambridge United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 26 Dec 2024

📅26/12/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.61
Draw
27%
3.72
Away
24%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.71
Over 2.5
44%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.06
No
56%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.67
2-3 Goals
39%
1.71
4-5 Goals
21%
3.92
6+ Goals
10%
18.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
2.12
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
9%
17.3
X/1
18%
3.62
X/2
8%
10.5
X/X
8%
4.86
2/1
5%
26.5
2/2
10%
9.11
2/X
10%
18.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
58%
-9.4pp
27%
Draw
24%
+3.1pp
24%
Away Win
18%
+6.3pp
56%
Under 2.5
55%
+1.0pp
44%
Over 2.5
45%
-1.0pp
44%
BTTS Yes
44%
-0.7pp
56%
BTTS No
56%
+0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Charlton Athletic EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Cambridge United EU Bookmakers 21%
-11% / -32% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -15%
1.51/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/1.44
-15% / -37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / -22%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
355 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 245 · 68%
26.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.0
20.8 Crosses 16.3
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Charlton Athletic
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Cambridge United
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.18 xG 0.93
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 6
305 Passes 230
74% Pass Accuracy 68%
26 Box Touches 21
19 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 1
17.09.2024 Cambridge United Cambridge United 1-2 Charlton Athletic Charlton Athletic İNTK
13.04.2024 Cambridge United Cambridge United 1-1 HT 0-1 Charlton Athletic Charlton Athletic İN1
09.12.2023 Charlton Athletic Charlton Athletic 2-2 HT 0-0 Cambridge United Cambridge United İN1
18.03.2023 Cambridge United Cambridge United 1-2 HT 0-2 Charlton Athletic Charlton Athletic İN1
20.08.2022 Charlton Athletic Charlton Athletic 1-1 HT 1-0 Cambridge United Cambridge United İN1
19.04.2022 Cambridge United Cambridge United 0-2 HT 0-0 Charlton Athletic Charlton Athletic İN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Charlton Athletic
2-1
AWAY Cambridge United
1.09 xG 1.88
42% Ball Possession 58%
13 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 2
194 Passes 309
62% Pass Accuracy 72%
18 Box Touches 21
15 Crosses 18
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Charlton Athletic vs Cambridge United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Charlton Athletic nicked a narrow win over Cambridge United 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Charlton Athletic as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Charlton Athletic had 42% of the ball to Cambridge United's 58%, shots finished 13-12, expected goals 1.09 to 1.88 — the balance of chances actually favoured Cambridge United.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Charlton Athletic had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Charlton Athletic and 1.00 for Cambridge United.

What was the final score of Charlton Athletic vs Cambridge United?

Charlton Athletic 2-1 Cambridge United in the England - 1st Division on 26/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Charlton Athletic vs Cambridge United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Charlton Athletic win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Charlton Athletic 49%, draw 27%, Cambridge United 24%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Charlton Athletic) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Charlton Athletic) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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