Cambridge United 1-2 Charlton Athletic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Futbol League Cup, 17 Sep 2024

Cambridge United
1-2
Charlton Athletic
📅17/09/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
England - Futbol League Cup – 2024/2025

Cambridge United vs Charlton Athletic Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.67
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
36%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.1
Over 2.5
50%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.56
No
48%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
4.06
2-3 Goals
37%
1.85
4-5 Goals
26%
3.08
6+ Goals
11%
9.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.06 — our 26% vs market 19.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
16%
X/X
7%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
34%
+4.6pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.1pp
36%
Away Win
41%
-4.6pp
50%
Under 2.5
44%
+5.7pp
50%
Over 2.5
56%
-5.7pp
52%
BTTS Yes
60%
-8.2pp
48%
BTTS No
40%
+8.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Cambridge United v Charlton Athletic — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cambridge United EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Charlton Athletic EU Bookmakers 45%
+16% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
2.70/1.42 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/1.43
+21% / +114% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +8%
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
253 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 75%
33.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.1
21.5 Crosses 9.5
1.5 Yellow Cards 0.8

Cambridge United vs Charlton Athletic Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cambridge United
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Charlton Athletic
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.99 xG 1.18
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
231 Passes 303
67% Pass Accuracy 73%
20 Box Touches 26
19 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
13.04.2024 Cambridge United Cambridge United 1-1 HT 0-1 Charlton Athletic Charlton Athletic İN1
09.12.2023 Charlton Athletic Charlton Athletic 2-2 HT 0-0 Cambridge United Cambridge United İN1
18.03.2023 Cambridge United Cambridge United 1-2 HT 0-2 Charlton Athletic Charlton Athletic İN1
20.08.2022 Charlton Athletic Charlton Athletic 1-1 HT 1-0 Cambridge United Cambridge United İN1
19.04.2022 Cambridge United Cambridge United 0-2 HT 0-0 Charlton Athletic Charlton Athletic İN1
11.12.2021 Charlton Athletic Charlton Athletic 2-0 HT 1-0 Cambridge United Cambridge United İN1
POST-MATCH Cambridge United vs Charlton Athletic
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Charlton Athletic edged past Cambridge United 2-1 away from home.

Our pre-match split (38% / 25% / 36%) promised a tight game; Charlton Athletic found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Charlton Athletic led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Cambridge United and 1.67 for Charlton Athletic.

What was the final score of Cambridge United vs Charlton Athletic?

Cambridge United 1-2 Charlton Athletic in the England - Futbol League Cup on 17/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cambridge United vs Charlton Athletic?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cambridge United win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Cambridge United 38%, draw 25%, Charlton Athletic 36%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Cambridge United) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Cambridge United) ✓ BTTS Yes
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