Stockport County 4-1 Everton U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Futbol League Cup, 17 Sep 2024

📅17/09/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.25
Draw
21%
5.71
Away
23%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
3.14
Over 2.5
53%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.75
No
54%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
7.78
2-3 Goals
39%
2.28
4-5 Goals
27%
2.4
6+ Goals
10%
4.34
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
23%
X/2
12%
X/X
8%
2/1
5%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
76%
-19.8pp
21%
Draw
15%
+6.1pp
23%
Away Win
10%
+13.5pp
47%
Under 2.5
28%
+18.8pp
53%
Over 2.5
72%
-18.8pp
46%
BTTS Yes
53%
-6.9pp
54%
BTTS No
47%
+6.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stockport County EU Bookmakers 80%
Head to Head
AWAY Everton U21 EU Bookmakers 12%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
1.76/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.76/1.19
-58% / +91% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / +4%
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
396 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 257 · 71%
24.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 10.2
25.1 Crosses 6.9
4.3 Yellow Cards 1.6
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Stockport County
4-1
AWAY Everton U21
2.96 xG 0.94
71% Ball Possession 29%
25 Total Shots 6
11 Shots on Target 4
11 Corners 2
704 Passes 259
91% Pass Accuracy 81%
44 Box Touches 5
22 Crosses 1
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Stockport County vs Everton U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stockport County ran out comfortable winners over Everton U21 4-1. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Stockport County as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Stockport County had 71% of the ball to Everton U21's 29%, shots finished 25-6, expected goals 2.96 to 0.94.

What was the final score of Stockport County vs Everton U21?

Stockport County 4-1 Everton U21 in the England - Futbol League Cup on 17/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stockport County vs Everton U21?

Before kick-off our model rated a Stockport County win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Stockport County 56%, draw 21%, Everton U21 23%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Stockport County), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Stockport County) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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