Mansfield Town 0-3 Bradford City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Futbol League Cup, 17 Sep 2024

📅17/09/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.92
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
31%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.95
Over 2.5
48%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.7
No
52%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.53
2-3 Goals
36%
1.8
4-5 Goals
23%
3.39
6+ Goals
12%
12.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.53 — our 29% vs market 23.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
12%
X/X
18%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
48%
-6.7pp
28%
Draw
25%
+3.1pp
31%
Away Win
27%
+3.5pp
52%
Under 2.5
48%
+4.6pp
48%
Over 2.5
52%
-4.6pp
48%
BTTS Yes
55%
-6.4pp
52%
BTTS No
45%
+6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mansfield Town EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Bradford City EU Bookmakers 31%
-29% / -29% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -23% / -23%
2.20/2.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.58/1.55
-21% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -85% / -51%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
266 · 67% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 244 · 65%
31.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.0
27.3 Crosses 13.0
1.6 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mansfield Town
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Bradford City
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.42 xG 1.17
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
280 Passes 278
68% Pass Accuracy 68%
28 Box Touches 18
23 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
16.03.2024 Bradford City Bradford City 1-5 HT 0-4 Mansfield Town Mansfield Town İN2
02.09.2023 Mansfield Town Mansfield Town 0-0 HT 0-0 Bradford City Bradford City İN2
04.02.2023 Bradford City Bradford City 1-1 HT 1-0 Mansfield Town Mansfield Town İN2
08.11.2022 Mansfield Town Mansfield Town 1-2 HT 0-1 Bradford City Bradford City İN2
26.02.2022 Bradford City Bradford City 0-2 HT 0-1 Mansfield Town Mansfield Town İN2
21.08.2021 Mansfield Town Mansfield Town 2-3 HT 1-1 Bradford City Bradford City İN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mansfield Town
0-3
AWAY Bradford City
0.25 xG 1.75
66% Ball Possession 34%
8 Total Shots 17
1 Shots on Target 9
4 Corners 10
535 Passes 237
82% Pass Accuracy 72%
10 Box Touches 17
22 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Mansfield Town vs Bradford City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bradford City swept aside Mansfield Town 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was Mansfield Town at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Mansfield Town had 66% of the ball to Bradford City's 34%, shots finished 8-17, expected goals 0.25 to 1.75.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Mansfield Town and 1.17 for Bradford City.

What was the final score of Mansfield Town vs Bradford City?

Mansfield Town 0-3 Bradford City in the England - Futbol League Cup on 17/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mansfield Town vs Bradford City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mansfield Town win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Mansfield Town 41%, draw 28%, Bradford City 31%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Mansfield Town), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Mansfield Town) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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