Cambridge United 1-1 Charlton Athletic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 13 Apr 2024

Cambridge United
1-1 HT 0-1
Charlton Athletic
📅13/04/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✓ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
England - 1st Division – 2023/2024

Cambridge United vs Charlton Athletic Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.94
Draw
31%
3.28
Away
35%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.82
Over 2.5
44%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.75
No
52%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.21
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
3.66
6+ Goals
10%
15.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.21 — our 31% vs market 25.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
4.77
1/2
10%
26.0
1/X
8%
13.45
X/1
9%
6.57
X/2
12%
4.75
X/X
15%
4.53
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
13%
3.03
2/X
8%
13.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
30%
+4.0pp
31%
Draw
27%
+3.9pp
35%
Away Win
43%
-7.8pp
56%
Under 2.5
51%
+4.5pp
44%
Over 2.5
49%
-4.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
53%
-4.9pp
52%
BTTS No
47%
+4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Cambridge United v Charlton Athletic — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cambridge United EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Charlton Athletic EU Bookmakers 48%
+3% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -1%
1.03/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.37/1.12
-6% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / -6%
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
288 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 76%
19.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.9
18.1 Crosses 19.5
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.0

Cambridge United vs Charlton Athletic Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cambridge United
0W-2D-3L
AWAY Charlton Athletic
0.80 Avg Goals (FT) 1.80
1.08 xG 1.15
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 6
243 Passes 316
69% Pass Accuracy 75%
21 Box Touches 25
21 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
09.12.2023 Charlton Athletic Charlton Athletic 2-2 HT 0-0 Cambridge United Cambridge United İN1
18.03.2023 Cambridge United Cambridge United 1-2 HT 0-2 Charlton Athletic Charlton Athletic İN1
20.08.2022 Charlton Athletic Charlton Athletic 1-1 HT 1-0 Cambridge United Cambridge United İN1
19.04.2022 Cambridge United Cambridge United 0-2 HT 0-0 Charlton Athletic Charlton Athletic İN1
11.12.2021 Charlton Athletic Charlton Athletic 2-0 HT 1-0 Cambridge United Cambridge United İN1

Cambridge United 1-1 Charlton Athletic — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cambridge United
1-1
AWAY Charlton Athletic
0.50 xG 1.33
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 21
4 Shots on Target 6
0 Corners 9
169 Passes 238
58% Pass Accuracy 67%
17 Box Touches 29
13 Crosses 31
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Cambridge United vs Charlton Athletic
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cambridge United and Charlton Athletic couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (34% / 31% / 35%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Cambridge United had 44% of the ball to Charlton Athletic's 56%, shots finished 9-21, expected goals 0.50 to 1.33.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Charlton Athletic led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.80 goals for Cambridge United and 1.80 for Charlton Athletic.

What was the final score of Cambridge United vs Charlton Athletic?

Cambridge United 1-1 Charlton Athletic in the England - 1st Division on 13/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cambridge United vs Charlton Athletic?

Before kick-off our model rated an Charlton Athletic win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Cambridge United 34%, draw 31%, Charlton Athletic 35%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Charlton Athletic), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Charlton Athletic) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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