Lincoln City 0-1 Bolton Wanderers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Futbol League Cup, 14 Jan 2025

📅14/01/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.47
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
37%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.8
Over 2.5
47%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.75
No
49%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.95
2-3 Goals
39%
1.72
4-5 Goals
24%
3.57
6+ Goals
10%
15.05
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
3.88
1/2
8%
30.0
1/X
7%
13.5
X/1
12%
5.58
X/2
9%
5.43
X/X
12%
4.51
2/1
11%
30.5
2/2
21%
3.74
2/X
7%
13.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
37%
-0.4pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.5pp
37%
Away Win
36%
+0.8pp
53%
Under 2.5
52%
+1.4pp
47%
Over 2.5
48%
-1.4pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-2.3pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lincoln City EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Bolton Wanderers EU Bookmakers 40%
+20% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +19% / +19%
1.36/1.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.11/0.72
+32% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / +150%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
249 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 75%
20.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.6
12.0 Crosses 15.2
0.7 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lincoln City
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Bolton Wanderers
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
0.50 xG 1.05
34% Ball Possession 66%
6 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 8
192 Passes 435
63% Pass Accuracy 81%
12 Box Touches 28
10 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 2
29.12.2024 Bolton Wanderers Bolton Wanderers 3-0 HT 1-0 Lincoln City Lincoln City İN1
26.12.2023 Lincoln City Lincoln City 0-1 HT 0-0 Bolton Wanderers Bolton Wanderers İN1
05.08.2023 Bolton Wanderers Bolton Wanderers 3-0 HT 1-0 Lincoln City Lincoln City İN1
30.12.2022 Lincoln City Lincoln City 1-1 HT 1-0 Bolton Wanderers Bolton Wanderers İN1
01.10.2022 Bolton Wanderers Bolton Wanderers 2-0 HT 1-0 Lincoln City Lincoln City İN1
22.02.2022 Bolton Wanderers Bolton Wanderers 3-1 HT 0-0 Lincoln City Lincoln City İN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lincoln City
0-1
AWAY Bolton Wanderers
0.78 xG 0.54
42% Ball Possession 58%
15 Total Shots 5
2 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 2
233 Passes 378
73% Pass Accuracy 82%
24 Box Touches 11
21 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Lincoln City vs Bolton Wanderers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bolton Wanderers edged past Lincoln City 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (36% / 27% / 37%) promised a tight game; Bolton Wanderers found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Lincoln City had 42% of the ball to Bolton Wanderers's 58%, shots finished 15-5, expected goals 0.78 to 0.54.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bolton Wanderers led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Lincoln City and 2.17 for Bolton Wanderers.

What was the final score of Lincoln City vs Bolton Wanderers?

Lincoln City 0-1 Bolton Wanderers in the England - Futbol League Cup on 14/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lincoln City vs Bolton Wanderers?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bolton Wanderers win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Lincoln City 36%, draw 27%, Bolton Wanderers 37%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bolton Wanderers), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Bolton Wanderers) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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