Aston Villa U21 1-3 Bradford City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Futbol League Cup, 14 Jan 2025

📅14/01/2025 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
4.04
Draw
28%
4.19
Away
43%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.89
Over 2.5
58%
1.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.46
No
43%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
6.34
2-3 Goals
42%
2.07
4-5 Goals
26%
2.39
6+ Goals
11%
4.77
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
6.76
1/2
9%
18.8
1/X
6%
15.0
X/1
12%
10.8
X/2
12%
4.34
X/X
12%
7.29
2/1
9%
34.5
2/2
22%
1.98
2/X
10%
14.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
21%
+7.5pp
28%
Draw
20%
+7.5pp
43%
Away Win
58%
-15.0pp
42%
Under 2.5
31%
+10.9pp
58%
Over 2.5
69%
-10.9pp
57%
BTTS Yes
64%
-7.1pp
43%
BTTS No
36%
+7.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aston Villa U21 EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY Bradford City EU Bookmakers 62%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
348 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 406 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Aston Villa U21
1-3
AWAY Bradford City
0.72 xG 1.71
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 14
353 Passes 374
80% Pass Accuracy 81%
18 Box Touches 39
13 Crosses 31
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Aston Villa U21 vs Bradford City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bradford City saw off Aston Villa U21 3-1 away from home.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Bradford City as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (57%) came in.

On the day, Aston Villa U21 had 48% of the ball to Bradford City's 52%, shots finished 8-15, expected goals 0.72 to 1.71.

What was the final score of Aston Villa U21 vs Bradford City?

Aston Villa U21 1-3 Bradford City in the England - Futbol League Cup on 14/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aston Villa U21 vs Bradford City?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bradford City win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Aston Villa U21 29%, draw 28%, Bradford City 43%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bradford City), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Bradford City) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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