Peterborough United 4-2 Walsall — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Futbol League Cup, 14 Jan 2025

Peterborough United
4-2 HT 3-1
Walsall
📅14/01/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
England - Futbol League Cup – 2024/2025

Peterborough United vs Walsall Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.02
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
32%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.21
Over 2.5
52%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.55
No
48%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
4.18
2-3 Goals
36%
1.82
4-5 Goals
24%
2.8
6+ Goals
14%
8.13
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
2.86
1/2
7%
30.5
1/X
9%
13.15
X/1
16%
4.97
X/2
9%
6.91
X/X
9%
5.52
2/1 EV+ ✗
13%
23.0
2/2
15%
4.52
2/X
7%
13.35
Value flag · 2/1 at 23.0 — our 13% vs market 2.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
45%
-1.3pp
24%
Draw
25%
-0.2pp
32%
Away Win
30%
+1.5pp
48%
Under 2.5
41%
+6.1pp
52%
Over 2.5
59%
-6.1pp
52%
BTTS Yes
60%
-8.2pp
48%
BTTS No
40%
+8.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Peterborough United v Walsall — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Peterborough United EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Walsall EU Bookmakers 34%
+13% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
1.05/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.34/0.97
+7% / +58% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / -14%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
301 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 71%
25.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.6
16.0 Crosses 27.8
1.8 Yellow Cards 3.4

Peterborough United vs Walsall Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Peterborough United
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Walsall
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
The Meetings
27.04.2019 Walsall Walsall 3-0 HT 1-0 Peterborough United Peterborough United İN1
22.12.2018 Peterborough United Peterborough United 1-1 HT 0-1 Walsall Walsall İN1
27.02.2018 Peterborough United Peterborough United 2-1 HT 1-1 Walsall Walsall İN1
16.09.2017 Walsall Walsall 1-1 HT 1-0 Peterborough United Peterborough United İN1
18.02.2017 Walsall Walsall 2-0 HT 0-0 Peterborough United Peterborough United İN1
24.09.2016 Peterborough United Peterborough United 1-1 HT 1-1 Walsall Walsall İN1

Peterborough United 4-2 Walsall — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Peterborough United
4-2
AWAY Walsall
2.23 xG 1.87
60% Ball Possession 40%
9 Total Shots 20
5 Shots on Target 13
1 Corners 10
459 Passes 246
84% Pass Accuracy 73%
22 Box Touches 30
6 Crosses 29
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Peterborough United vs Walsall
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Peterborough United beat Walsall 4-2. Half-time: 3-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Peterborough United as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Peterborough United had 60% of the ball to Walsall's 40%, shots finished 9-20, expected goals 2.23 to 1.87.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Walsall led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Peterborough United and 1.50 for Walsall.

What was the final score of Peterborough United vs Walsall?

Peterborough United 4-2 Walsall in the England - Futbol League Cup on 14/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Peterborough United vs Walsall?

Before kick-off our model rated a Peterborough United win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Peterborough United 44%, draw 24%, Walsall 32%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Peterborough United), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Peterborough United) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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