RB Leipzig 3-1 Magdeburg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - DFB Cup, 2 Dec 2025

RB Leipzig
3-1 HT 2-1
Magdeburg
📅02/12/2025 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✓
Germany - DFB Cup – 2025/2026

RB Leipzig vs Magdeburg Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
64%
1.3
Draw
18%
5.15
Away
18%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
35%
2.74
Over 2.5
65%
1.41
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.73
No
41%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
6.15
2-3 Goals
35%
2.1
4-5 Goals
29%
2.5
6+ Goals
16%
5.27
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
38%
1.48
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
4%
20.55
X/1
16%
4.02
X/2
8%
18.9
X/X
7%
9.25
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
19.5
2/2
5%
14.7
2/X
6%
23.55
Value flag · 2/1 at 19.5 — our 10% vs market 2.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
64%
Home Win
72%
-8.8pp
18%
Draw
16%
+1.5pp
18%
Away Win
11%
+7.3pp
35%
Under 2.5
33%
+2.3pp
65%
Over 2.5
67%
-2.3pp
59%
BTTS Yes
54%
+5.0pp
41%
BTTS No
46%
-5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

RB Leipzig v Magdeburg — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME RB Leipzig EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY Magdeburg EU Bookmakers 14%
+15% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+46% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
59% Ball Possession 41%
18 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
494 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 75%
21.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
11.2 Crosses –
0.9 Yellow Cards –

RB Leipzig 3-1 Magdeburg — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME RB Leipzig
3-1
AWAY Magdeburg
1.71 xG 1.40
50% Ball Possession 50%
16 Total Shots 11
10 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 8
425 Passes 420
87% Pass Accuracy 85%
26 Box Touches 20
11 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH RB Leipzig vs Magdeburg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

RB Leipzig beat Magdeburg 3-1. Half-time: 2-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had RB Leipzig as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (65%), both teams to score (59%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, RB Leipzig had 50% of the ball to Magdeburg's 50%, shots finished 16-11, expected goals 1.71 to 1.40.

What was the final score of RB Leipzig vs Magdeburg?

RB Leipzig 3-1 Magdeburg in the Germany - DFB Cup on 02/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for RB Leipzig vs Magdeburg?

Before kick-off our model rated a RB Leipzig win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split RB Leipzig 64%, draw 18%, Magdeburg 18%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (RB Leipzig), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (RB Leipzig) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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