Borussia Dortmund vs Bayer Leverkusen Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Borussia Dortmund v Bayer Leverkusen — Team-Based Signals
Borussia Dortmund vs Bayer Leverkusen Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-1
Borussia Dortmund
AL1
0-2
HT 0-1
Borussia Dortmund
AL1
Borussia Dortmund 0-1 Bayer Leverkusen — Actual Match Statistics
Bayer Leverkusen squeezed past Borussia Dortmund 1-0 away from home.
Our pre-match lean was Borussia Dortmund at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Borussia Dortmund had 58% of the ball to Bayer Leverkusen's 42%, shots finished 20-6, expected goals 1.32 to 0.38 — the balance of chances actually favoured Borussia Dortmund.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Borussia Dortmund had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Borussia Dortmund and 1.33 for Bayer Leverkusen.
What was the final score of Borussia Dortmund vs Bayer Leverkusen?
Borussia Dortmund 0-1 Bayer Leverkusen in the Germany - DFB Cup on 02/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Borussia Dortmund vs Bayer Leverkusen?
Before kick-off our model rated a Borussia Dortmund win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Borussia Dortmund 47%, draw 20%, Bayer Leverkusen 34%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.