Bayer Leverkusen vs Borussia Dortmund Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Bayer Leverkusen v Borussia Dortmund — Team-Based Signals
Bayer Leverkusen vs Borussia Dortmund Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-1
Borussia Dortmund
AL1
0-2
HT 0-1
Borussia Dortmund
AL1
1-0
HT 1-0
Bayer Leverkusen
AL1
Bayer Leverkusen 1-2 Borussia Dortmund — Actual Match Statistics
Borussia Dortmund squeezed past Bayer Leverkusen 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.
Our pre-match split (39% / 28% / 34%) promised a tight game; Borussia Dortmund found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged both teams to score (58%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Bayer Leverkusen had 63% of the ball to Borussia Dortmund's 37%, shots finished 14-7, expected goals 0.82 to 1.13.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Borussia Dortmund led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Bayer Leverkusen and 1.83 for Borussia Dortmund.
What was the final score of Bayer Leverkusen vs Borussia Dortmund?
Bayer Leverkusen 1-2 Borussia Dortmund in the Germany - Bundesliga on 29/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Bayer Leverkusen vs Borussia Dortmund?
Before kick-off our model rated a Bayer Leverkusen win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Bayer Leverkusen 39%, draw 28%, Borussia Dortmund 34%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Bayer Leverkusen), Under 2.5 went the other way.